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Related papers: Wildfire Propagation Modeling using Satellite-Deri…

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The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires underscore the need for accurate predictive models to enhance wildfire management. Traditional models, such as Rothermel and FARSITE, provide foundational insights but often oversimplify…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

The devastating effects of wildfires on the wildlife and their impact on human lives and properties are undeniable. This shows the importance of studying the spread of wildfire, predicting its behavior and presenting more reliable models…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Hengameh R. Dehkordi

Increasing wildfire occurrence has spurred growing interest in wildfire spread prediction. However, even the most complex wildfire models diverge from observed progression during multi-day simulations, motivating need for data assimilation.…

Wildland fires pose an increasingly serious problem in our society. The number and severity of these fires has been rising for many years. Wildfires pose direct threats to life and property as well as threats through ancillary effects like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 James D. Haley

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Experimental data on the propagation of wildfires show that its short-time spread has a double semi-elliptical shape. Our main goal is to show that this shape can be accurately approximated in polar coordinates by choosing suitable…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Forward propagation of input uncertainties in physics-based wildfire models is computationally prohibitive, limiting the use of high-fidelity simulators in risk assessment workflows. This work introduces a geometry-aligned bi-fidelity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Konstantinos Vogiatzoglou , Costas Papadimitriou , Vasilis Bontozoglou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Han Gao

The availability of wildland fire propagation models with parameters estimated in an accurate way starting from measurements of fire fronts is crucial to predict the evolution of fire and allocate resources for firefighting. Thus, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Angelo Alessandri , Patrizia Bagnerini , Mauro Gaggero , Luca Mantelli

A two-dimensional model of wildfire spread and merger is presented. Three features affect the fire propagation: (i) a constant basic rate of spread term accounting for radiative and convective heat transfer, (ii) the unidirectional,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-08-13 Samuel J. Harris , N. R. McDonald

We are developing a wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations that estimate the rate of spread of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release, coupled with WRF, the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model. A level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-09 Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Jan Mandel , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Increases in wildfire activity and the resulting impacts have prompted the development of high-resolution wildfire behavior models for forecasting fire spread. Recent progress in using satellites to detect fire locations further provides…

Level set methods are versatile and extensible techniques for general front tracking problems, including the practically important problem of predicting the advance of a firefront across expanses of surface vegetation. Given a rule,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-10-16 V. Mallet , D. E. Keyes , F. E. Fendell

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

A geometric model for the computation of the firefront of a forest wildfire which takes into account several effects (possibly time-dependent wind, anisotropies and slope of the ground) is introduced. It relies on a general theoretical…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Miguel Ángel Javaloyes , Enrique Pendás-Recondo , Miguel Sánchez

This paper presents the development of a new continuous forest fire model implemented as a weighted local small-world network approach. This new approach was designed to simulate fire patterns in real, heterogeneous landscapes. The wildland…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-02 F. Aguayo , A. Fuentes , J. -P. Clerc , B. Porterie

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Fire propagation is a major concern in the world in general and in Argentinian northwestern Patagonia in particular where every year hundreds of hectares are affected by both natural and anthropogenic forest fires. We developed an efficient…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-22 Mónica Denham , Karina Laneri

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

The increasing frequency and severity of wildfires highlight the need for accurate fire and plume spread models. We introduce an approach that effectively isolates and tracks fire and plume behavior across various spatial and temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Daryn Sagel , Bryan Quaife
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