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Progressive multi-state survival outcomes are common in trials with recurrent or sequential events and require treatment effect estimands that remain interpretable without proportional intensity or Markov assumptions. The restricted mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Xi Fang , Bingkai Wang , Guangyu Tong , Liangyuan Hu , Shuangge Ma , Fan Li

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

In many practical applications of numerical methods a substantial increase in efficiency can be obtained by using local grid refinement, since the solution is generally smooth in large parts of the domain and large gradients occur only…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 E. H. van Brummelen , C. H. Venner

This paper considers the problem of estimating probability density functions on the rotation group $SO(3)$. Two distinct approaches are proposed, one based on characteristic functions and the other on wavelets using the heat kernel.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-21 Nicolas Le Bihan , Julien Flamant , Jonathan H. Manton

Kernel ridge regression (KRR), also known as the least-squares support vector machine, is a fundamental method for learning functions from finite samples. While most existing analyses focus on the noisy setting with constant-level label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-14 Jihao Long , Xiaojun Peng , Lei Wu

In this paper, we harness a result in point process theory, specifically the expectation of the weighted $K$-function, where the weighting is done by the true first-order intensity function. This theoretical result can be employed as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Giada Adelfio

In this paper for the first time the nonparametric autoregression estimation problem for the quadratic risks is considered. To this end we develop a new adaptive sequential model selection method based on the efficient sequential kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

The Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) characterizes how a model's state evolves over Gradient Descent. Computing the full NTK matrix is often infeasible, especially for recurrent architectures. Here, we introduce a matrix-free perspective, using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 James Hazelden

A companion paper develops a framework in which probability measures are represented by distribution-kernel pairs (T,phi) with T a tempered distribution and phi a Schwartz kernel, so that weak moments of all orders exist unconditionally.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 R. Labouriau

Semicontinuous outcomes occur frequently in health services, insurance, and cost studies. Standard nonparametric density estimators are not well suited to such data because they do not naturally accommodate the mixed structure, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Guanjie Lyu , Frédéric Ouimet , Cindy Feng

We develop a unified geometric framework for nonparametric estimation based on the notion of Twin Kernel Spaces, defined as orbits of a reproducing kernel under a group action. This structure induces a family of transported RKHS geometries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Jocelyn Nembé

We introduce new estimators of the inhomogeneous $K$-function and the pair correlation function of a spatial point process as well as the cross $K$-function and the cross pair correlation function of a bivariate spatial point process under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Thomas Shaw , Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Kernel matching is a widely used technique for estimating treatment effects, particularly valuable in observational studies where randomized controlled trials are not feasible. While kernel-matching approaches have demonstrated practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Chong Ding , Zheng Li , Hon Keung Tony Ng , Wei Gao

In this paper, we deal with nonparametric regression for circular data, meaning that observations are represented by points lying on the unit circle. We propose a kernel estimation procedure with data-driven selection of the bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-03 Tien Dat Nguyen , Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc , Vincent Rivoirard

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

In this paper we introduce a kernel-based measure for detecting differences between two conditional distributions. Using the `kernel trick' and nearest-neighbor graphs, we propose a consistent estimate of this measure which can be computed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Anirban Chatterjee , Ziang Niu , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a non-stationary Hawkes process with time-dependent reproduction rate and baseline intensity. Our approach relies on the standard maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), coinciding with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

The use of the BFKL kernel improved by the inclusion of subleading terms generated by renormalization group (RG) analysis has been suggested to cure the instabilities in the behavior of the BFKL Green's function in the next-to-leading…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 Francesco Caporale , Alessandro Papa , Agustin Sabio Vera
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