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Signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterize geometric rough paths, which includes the paths with bounded variation. This object has been studied successfully for machine learning with mostly applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Ming Min , Tomoyuki Ichiba

The interface between stochastic analysis and machine learning is a rapidly evolving field, with path signatures - iterated integrals that provide faithful, hierarchical representations of paths - offering a principled and universal feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-26 Csaba Tóth

We provide an introduction to the signature method, focusing on its theoretical properties and machine learning applications. Our presentation is divided into two parts. In the first part, we present the definition and fundamental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ilya Chevyrev , Andrey Kormilitzin

The signature is a collection of iterated integrals describing the "shape" of a path. It appears naturally in the Taylor expansions of controlled differential equations and, as a consequence, is arguably the central object within rough path…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-31 James Foster

Rough path theory is focused on capturing and making precise the interactions between highly oscillatory and non-linear systems. It draws on the analysis of LC Young and the geometric algebra of KT Chen. The concepts and the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Terry Lyons

The signature of a parametric curve is a sequence of tensors whose entries are iterated integrals. This construction is central to the theory of rough paths in stochastic analysis. It is here examined through the lens of algebraic geometry.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Carlos Améndola , Peter Friz , Bernd Sturmfels

Many finance, physics, and engineering phenomena are modeled by continuous-time dynamical systems driven by highly irregular (stochastic) inputs. A powerful tool to perform time series analysis in this context is rooted in rough path theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Enea Monzio Compagnoni , Anna Scampicchio , Luca Biggio , Antonio Orvieto , Thomas Hofmann , Josef Teichmann

The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Bryson Schenck

In stochastic analysis, a standard method to study a path is to work with its signature. This is a sequence of tensors of different order that encode information of the path in a compact form. When the path varies, such signatures…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Laura Colmenarejo , Francesco Galuppi , Mateusz Michałek

The signature of a path is an essential object in the theory of rough paths. The signature representation of the data stream can recover standard statistics, e.g. the moments of the data stream. The classification of random walks indicates…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-09-14 Hao Ni

Central to rough path theory is the signature transform of a path, an infinite series of tensors given by the iterated integrals of the underlying path. The signature poses an effective way to capture sequentially ordered information,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Daniil Shmelev , Cristopher Salvi

The signature of a path is a sequence, whose $n$-th term contains $n$-th order iterated integrals of the path. These iterated integrals of sample paths of stochastic processes arise naturally when studying solutions of differential equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-23 Martin Albert Gbúr

In the context of controlled differential equations, the signature is the exponential function on paths. B. Hambly and T. Lyons proved that the signature of a bounded variation path is trivial if and only if the path is tree-like. We extend…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Horatio Boedihardjo , Xi Geng , Terry Lyons , Danyu Yang

Suppose that $\gamma$ and $\sigma$ are two continuous bounded variation paths which take values in a finite-dimensional inner product space $V$. Recent papers have introduced the truncated and the untruncated signature kernel of $\gamma$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Thomas Cass , Terry Lyons , Xingcheng Xu

The goal of this paper is to simplify and strengthen the Le Jan-Qian approximation scheme of studying the uniqueness of signature problem to the non-Markov setting. We establish a general framework for a class of multidimensional stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Horatio Boedihardjo , Xi Geng

We study the problem of estimating the parameters of a Gaussian distribution when samples are only shown if they fall in some (unknown) subset $S \subseteq \R^d$. This core problem in truncated statistics has long history going back to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Vasilis Kontonis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

We bring the theory of rough paths to the study of non-parametric statistics on streamed data. We discuss the problem of regression where the input variable is a stream of information, and the dependent response is also (potentially) a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Daniel Levin , Terry Lyons , Hao Ni

We define a characteristic function for probability measures on the signatures of geometric rough paths. We determine sufficient conditions under which a random variable is uniquely determined by its expected signature, thus partially…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Ilya Chevyrev , Terry Lyons

The signature of a $d$-dimensional Brownian motion is a sequence of iterated Stratonovich integrals along the Brownian paths, an object taking values in the tensor algebra over $\RR^{d}$. In this note, we derive the exact rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Hao Ni , Weijun Xu

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian
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