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We study the problem of robustly estimating the posterior distribution for the setting where observed data can be contaminated with potentially adversarial outliers. We propose Rob-ULA, a robust variant of the Unadjusted Langevin Algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-30 Kush Bhatia , Yi-An Ma , Anca D. Dragan , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

We propose a residual randomization procedure designed for robust Lasso-based inference in the high-dimensional setting. Compared to earlier work that focuses on sub-Gaussian errors, the proposed procedure is designed to work robustly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Y. Samuel Wang , Si Kai Lee , Panos Toulis , Mladen Kolar

Empirical Bayes small area estimation based on the well-known Fay-Herriot model may produce unreliable estimates when outlying areas exist. Existing robust methods against outliers or model misspecification are generally inefficient when…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-28 Daisuke Kurisu , Takuya Ishihara , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Dimension reduction provides a useful tool for analyzing high dimensional data. The recently developed \textit{Envelope} method is a parsimonious version of the classical multivariate regression model through identifying a minimal reducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hossein Moradi Rekabdarkolaee , Qin Wang , Zahra Naji , Montserrat Fuentes

The validity of estimation and smoothing parameter selection for the wide class of generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) relies on the correct specification of a likelihood function. Deviations from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 William H. Aeberhard , Eva Cantoni , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

Invariant risk minimization (IRM) aims to enable out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in deep learning by learning invariant representations. As IRM poses an inherently challenging bi-level optimization problem, most existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Kotaro Yoshida , Konstantinos Slavakis

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Bayesian methods, distributionally robust optimization methods, and regularization methods are three pillars of trustworthy machine learning combating distributional uncertainty, e.g., the uncertainty of an empirical distribution compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Shixiong Wang , Haowei Wang

This paper concerns the robust regression model when the number of predictors and the number of observations grow in a similar rate. Theory for M-estimators in this regime has been recently developed by several authors [El Karoui et al.,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-06 Daniel Nevo , Ya'acov Ritov

Regression models for circular variables are less developed, since the concept of building a linear predictor from linear combinations of covariates and various random effects, breaks the circular nature of the variable. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Xiang Ye , Janet Van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Ensemble techniques are powerful approaches that combine several weak learners to build a stronger one. As a meta-learning framework, ensemble techniques can easily be applied to many machine learning methods. Inspired by ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Hamideh Hajiabadi , Reza Monsefi , Hadi Sadoghi Yazdi

We present a novel probabilistic finite element method (FEM) for the solution and uncertainty quantification of elliptic partial differential equations based on random meshes, which we call random mesh FEM (RM-FEM). Our methodology allows…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

The systematic collection of longitudinal data is very common in practice, making mixed models widely used. Most developments around these models focus on modeling the mean trajectory of repeated measurements, typically under the assumption…

Developing simple, sample-efficient learning algorithms for robust classification is a pressing issue in today's tech-dominated world, and current theoretical techniques requiring exponential sample complexity and complicated improper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Robi Bhattacharjee , Max Hopkins , Akash Kumar , Hantao Yu , Kamalika Chaudhuri

In this paper we present BayesLDM, a system for Bayesian longitudinal data modeling consisting of a high-level modeling language with specific features for modeling complex multivariate time series data coupled with a compiler that can…

Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) is a bipartite graphical model that is used as the building block in energy-based deep generative models. Due to numerical stability and quantifiability of the likelihood, RBM is commonly used with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Chun-Liang Li , Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Barnabas Poczos

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han

Estimating the 3DoF rotation from a single RGB image is an important yet challenging problem. As a popular approach, probabilistic rotation modeling additionally carries prediction uncertainty information, compared to single-prediction…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Yingda Yin , Jiangran Lyu , Yang Wang , Haoran Liu , He Wang , Baoquan Chen