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It is now well known that neural networks can be wrong with high confidence in their predictions, leading to poor calibration. The most common post-hoc approach to compensate for this is to perform temperature scaling, which adjusts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Tom Joy , Francesco Pinto , Ser-Nam Lim , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

In this paper, we study the post-hoc calibration of modern neural networks, a problem that has drawn a lot of attention in recent years. Many calibration methods of varying complexity have been proposed for the task, but there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Sergio A. Balanya , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Ramos

Trained models are often composed with post-hoc transforms such as temperature scaling (TS), ensembling and stochastic weight averaging (SWA) to improve performance, robustness, uncertainty estimation, etc. However, such transforms are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Rishabh Ranjan , Saurabh Garg , Mrigank Raman , Carlos Guestrin , Zachary Lipton

Diversity is an essential metric for evaluating the creativity of outputs generated by language models. Temperature-based sampling is a common strategy to increase diversity. However, for tasks that require high precision, e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Sergey Troshin , Wafaa Mohammed , Yan Meng , Christof Monz , Antske Fokkens , Vlad Niculae

Temperature is a widely used hyperparameter in various tasks involving neural networks, such as classification or metric learning, whose choice can have a direct impact on the model performance. Most of existing works select its value using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Benjamin Chamand , Olivier Risser-Maroix , Camille Kurtz , Philippe Joly , Nicolas Loménie

Since the internal temperature is less accessible than surface temperature, there is an urgent need to develop accurate and real-time estimation algorithms for better thermal management and safety. This work presents a novel framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Yusheng Zheng , Wenxue Liu , Yunhong Che , Ferdinand Grimm , Jingyuan Zhao , Xiaosong Hu , Simona Onori , Remus Teodorescu , Gregory J. Offer

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Generative artificial intelligence models learn probability distributions from data and produce novel samples that capture the salient properties of their training sets. Proteins are particularly attractive for such approaches given their…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-27 Filippo Stocco , Michele Garibbo , Noelia Ferruz

Multi-sample aggregation strategies, such as majority voting and best-of-N sampling, are widely used in contemporary large language models (LLMs) to enhance predictive accuracy across various tasks. A key challenge in this process is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Weihua Du , Yiming Yang , Sean Welleck

Temperature scaling is a popular technique for tuning the sharpness of a model distribution. It is used extensively for sampling likely generations and calibrating model uncertainty, and even features as a controllable parameter to many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Andy Shih , Dorsa Sadigh , Stefano Ermon

Considering high-temperature heating, the equations of transient heat conduction model require an adaptation, i.e. the dependence of thermophysical parameters of the model on the temperature is to be identified for each specific material to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-04 Zhukov Petr , Glushchenko Anton , Fomin Andrey

Despite the impressive generalization capabilities of deep neural networks, they have been repeatedly shown to be overconfident when they are wrong. Fixing this issue is known as model calibration, and has consequently received much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Muthu Chidambaram , Rong Ge

Although overparameterized models have shown their success on many machine learning tasks, the accuracy could drop on the testing distribution that is different from the training one. This accuracy drop still limits applying machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yiping Lu , Wenlong Ji , Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying

In climate science, the tuning of climate models is a computationally intensive problem due to the combination of the high-dimensionality of the system state and long integration times. Supermodelling is a technique which has shown the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Jordan Seneca , Suzanne Bintanja , Frank M. Selten

We investigate the parameter space of transformer models trained on protein sequence data using a statistical mechanics framework, sampling the loss landscape at varying temperatures by Langevin dynamics to characterize the low-loss…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-01 L. Ghiringhelli , A. Zambon , G. Tiana

The number of electrified powertrains is ever increasing today towards a more sustainable future; thus, it is essential that unwanted failures are prevented, and a reliable operation is secured. Monitoring the internal temperatures of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Dinan Li , Panagiotis Kakosimos

Using simulations or experiments performed at some set of temperatures to learn about the physics or chemistry at some other arbitrary temperature is a problem of immense practical and theoretical relevance. Here we develop a framework…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-17 Yihang Wang , Lukas Herron , Pratyush Tiwary

Increasingly large datasets of robot actions and sensory observations are being collected to train ever-larger neural networks. These datasets are collected based on tasks and while these tasks may be distinct in their descriptions, many…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Basavasagar Patil , Sydney Belt , Jayjun Lee , Nima Fazeli , Bernadette Bucher

Stochastic generators are useful for estimating climate impacts on various sectors. Projecting climate risk in various sectors, e.g. energy systems, requires generators that are accurate (statistical resemblance to ground-truth), reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Emmanuel Balogun , Ram Rajagopal , Arun Majumdar

Temperature scaling is a simple method that allows to control the uncertainty of probabilistic models. It is mostly used in two contexts: improving the calibration of classifiers and tuning the stochasticity of large language models (LLMs).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Bruno Loureiro
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