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Climate extremes present escalating risks to agriculture intensifying the need for reliable multi-hazard early warning systems (EWS). The situation is evolving due to climate change and hence such systems should have the intelligent to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Boyuan Zheng , Victor W. Chu

Evacuation is critical for disaster safety, yet agencies lack timely, accurate, and transparent tools for evacuation prediction. This study introduces Evac-Cast, an interpretable machine learning framework that predicts tract-level…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-04 Bo Li , Chenyue Liu , Ali Mostafavi

Weather forecasting is essential for various human activities. Recent data-driven models have outperformed numerical weather prediction by utilizing deep learning in forecasting performance. However, challenges remain in efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Advancing the capabilities of earthquake nowcasting, the real-time forecasting of seismic activities remains a crucial and enduring objective aimed at reducing casualties. This multifaceted challenge has recently gained attention within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Alireza Jafari , Geoffrey Fox , John B. Rundle , Andrea Donnellan , Lisa Grant Ludwig

Data-driven convective parameterization aims to accurately represent convective adjustments to large-scale forcings in a computationally economic manner. While previous studies have demonstrated success using various model architectures,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Qiyu Song , Zhiming Kuang

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), is widely used in precipitation forecasting, based on complex equations of atmospheric motion requires supercomputers to infer the state of the atmosphere. Due to the complexity of the task and the huge…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-10 Xinyu Xiao , Qiuming Kuang , Shiming Xiang , Junnan Hu , Chunhong Pan

Weather forecasting supports critical socioeconomic activities and complements environmental protection, yet operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems remain computationally intensive, thus being inefficient for certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Nikolas Stavrou , Siamak Mehrkanoon

This paper is a submission for the Weather4Cast~2025 complementary Pollution Task and presents an efficient framework for 6-hour lead-time nowcasting of PM$_1$, PM$_{2.5}$, and PM$_{10}$ across the Indian subcontinent and surrounding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ansh Kushwaha , Kaushik Gopalan

This paper presents a convolutional neural network model for precipitation nowcasting that combines data-driven learning with physics-informed domain knowledge. We propose LUPIN, a Lagrangian Double U-Net for Physics-Informed Nowcasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Peter Pavlík , Martin Výboh , Anna Bou Ezzeddine , Viera Rozinajová

Global AI weather forecasting still relies mainly on uniform-resolution models, making it hard to combine regional refinement, two-way regional-global coupling, and affordable training cost. We introduce StretchCast, a global-regional AI…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-31 Jin Feng

Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Cheng-Chun Lee , Lipai Huang , Federico Antolini , Matthew Garcia , Andrew Juanb , Samuel D. Brody , Ali Mostafavi

Operational weather forecasting models have advanced for decades on both the explicit numerical solvers and the empirical physical parameterization schemes. However, the involved high computational costs and uncertainties in these existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Mengxuan Chen , Ziqi Yuan , Jinxiao Zhang , Runmin Dong , Haohuan Fu

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Recent testing and validation have found that the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) microburst products are effective in the assessment and short-term forecasting of downburst potential and associated wind gust…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-09-10 Kenneth L. Pryor

Air pollution remains a leading global health risk, exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization, contributing significantly to morbidity and mortality rates. In this paper, we introduce AirCast, a novel multi-variable air…

Accurate and timely rainfall nowcasting is crucial for disaster mitigation and water resource management. Despite recent advances in deep learning, precipitation prediction remains challenging due to limitations in effectively leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Sanjeev Panta , Rhett M Morvant , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

In this study, we develop a hybrid operational typhoon forecasting model that integrates the FuXi machine-learning (ML) model with the physics-based Shanghai Typhoon Model (SHTM) into a dual physics-data-driven framework. By employing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-04 Zeyi Niu

Air pollutants pose a significant threat to the environment and human health, thus forecasting accurate pollutant concentrations is essential for pollution warnings and policy-making. Existing studies predominantly focus on single-pollutant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Xu Fan , Zhihao Wang , Yuetan Lin , Yan Zhang , Yang Xiang , Hao Li
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