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This paper carries out a large dimensional analysis of a variation of kernel ridge regression that we call \emph{centered kernel ridge regression} (CKRR), also known in the literature as kernel ridge regression with offset. This modified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-22 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Xiangliang Zhang , Mohamed-Slim Alouini , Tareq Al-Naffouri

The estimation of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) is an important learning task with a great variety of downstream applications, such as risk assessments in predictions and decision making. In this paper, we study functional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Qian Zhang , Anuran Makur , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

A compositional tree refers to a tree structure on a set of random variables where each random variable is a node and composition occurs at each non-leaf node of the tree. As a generalization of compositional data, compositional trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Bingkai Wang , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo , Chin-Fu Liu , Andreia V. Faria , Michael I. Miller , Yi Zhao

Modeling the diameter distribution of trees in forest stands is a common forestry task that supports key biologically and economically relevant management decisions. The choice of model used to represent the diameter distribution and how to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-26 Mahdi Teimouri , Jeffrey W. Doser , Andrew O. Finley

We introduce a nonparametric way to estimate the global probability density function for a random persistence diagram. Precisely, a kernel density function centered at a given persistence diagram and a given bandwidth is constructed. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Joshua Lee Mike , Vasileios Maroulas

By selecting different filter functions, spectral algorithms can generate various regularization methods to solve statistical inverse problems within the learning-from-samples framework. This paper combines distributed spectral algorithms…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

We present a novel distributionally robust framework for dynamic programming that uses kernel methods to design feedback control policies. Specifically, we leverage kernel mean embedding to map the transition probabilities governing the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-20 Licio Romao , Ashish R. Hota , Alessandro Abate

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

Random forests are a powerful method for non-parametric regression, but are limited in their ability to fit smooth signals, and can show poor predictive performance in the presence of strong, smooth effects. Taking the perspective of random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-08 Rina Friedberg , Julie Tibshirani , Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

The Nested Dirichlet Distribution (NDD) provides a flexible alternative to the Dirichlet distribution for modeling compositional data, relaxing constraints on component variances and correlations through a hierarchical tree structure. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Jacob A. Turner , Monnie McGee , Bianca A. Luedeker

In structured additive distributional regression, the conditional distribution of the response variables given the covariate information and the vector of model parameters is modelled using a P-parametric probability density function where…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Gianmarco Callegher , Thomas Kneib , Johannes Söding , Paul Wiemann

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

The theoretical advances on the properties of scoring rules over the past decades have broadened the use of scoring rules in probabilistic forecasting. In meteorological forecasting, statistical postprocessing techniques are essential to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Romain Pic , Clément Dombry , Philippe Naveau , Maxime Taillardat

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) has become a popular measure to summarize event times in longitudinal studies. Defined as the area under the survival function up to a time horizon $\tau$ > 0, the RMST can be interpreted as the life…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Alina Schenk , Vanessa Basten , Matthias Schmid

Random survival forest and survival trees are popular models in statistics and machine learning. However, there is a lack of general understanding regarding consistency, splitting rules and influence of the censoring mechanism. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Mai Zhou , Michael Kosorok

Many forest management planning decisions are based on information about the number of trees by species and diameter per unit area. This information is commonly summarized in a stand table, where a stand is defined as a group of forest…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-04 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Aaron R. Weiskittel , Chad Babcock , Bruce D. Cook

Wildfires pose a significant global threat to ecosystems worldwide, with California experiencing recurring fires due to various factors, including climate, topographical features, vegetation patterns, and human activities. This study aims…

Many cases exist in which a black-box function $f$ with high evaluation cost depends on two types of variables $\bm x$ and $\bm w$, where $\bm x$ is a controllable \emph{design} variable and $\bm w$ are uncontrollable \emph{environmental}…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Yu Inatsu , Shogo Iwazaki , Ichiro Takeuchi

Breiman's random forest (RF) can be interpreted as an implicit kernel generator,where the ensuing proximity matrix represents the data-driven RF kernel. Kernel perspective on the RF has been used to develop a principled framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-02 Dai Feng , Richard Baumgartner

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) enhances the understanding of the effects of the randomness in the environment by letting agents learn the distribution of a random return, rather than its expected value as in standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Zifan Wang , Yulong Gao , Siyi Wang , Michael M. Zavlanos , Alessandro Abate , Karl H. Johansson