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The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

Message passing, also known as belief propagation, is a versatile framework for analyzing models defined on graphs. Its most prototypical application is percolation; yet, the interpretation of the message passing formulation of percolation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-08 Takayuki Hiraoka

Belief propagation is known to perform extremely well in many practical statistical inference and learning problems using graphical models, even in the presence of multiple loops. The iterative use of belief propagation algorithm on loopy…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-02-13 Xiangqiong Shi , Dan Schonfeld , Daniela Tuninetti

This letter deals with the application of the expectation propagation (EP) algorithm to turbo equalization. The EP has been successfully applied to obtain either a better approximation at the output of the equalizer or at the output of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-19 Irene Santos , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes , Eva Arias-de-Reyna

Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms are a class of iterative procedures for computationally-efficient estimation in high-dimensional inference and estimation tasks. Due to the presence of an 'Onsager' correction term in its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Collin Cademartori , Cynthia Rush

Gaussian and quadratic approximations of message passing algorithms on graphs have attracted considerable recent attention due to their computational simplicity, analytic tractability, and wide applicability in optimization and statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher , Vivek K. Goyal , Evan Byrne , Philip Schniter

Mixture of linear regression is well studied in statistics and machine learning, where the data points are generated probabilistically using $k$ linear models. Algorithms like Expectation Maximization (EM) may be used to recover the ground…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Avishek Ghosh

Incomplete data are a common feature in many domains, from clinical trials to industrial applications. Bayesian networks (BNs) are often used in these domains because of their graphical and causal interpretations. BN parameter learning from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Andrea Ruggieri , Francesco Stranieri , Fabio Stella , Marco Scutari

Ensembling is now recognized as an effective approach for increasing the predictive performance and calibration of deep networks. We introduce a new approach, Parameter Ensembling by Perturbation (PEP), that constructs an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Alireza Mehrtash , Purang Abolmaesumi , Polina Golland , Tina Kapur , Demian Wassermann , William M. Wells

Inference for probabilistic graphical models is still very much a practical challenge in large domains. The commonly used and effective belief propagation (BP) algorithm and its generalizations often do not converge when applied to hard,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Gal Elidan , Ian McGraw , Daphne Koller

We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-12 Jörg Lücke

Motivation: In the last few years a growing interest in biology has been shifting towards the problem of optimal information extraction from the huge amount of data generated via large scale and high-throughput techniques. One of the most…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 M. Leone , A. Pagnani

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Expectation maximisation (EM) is an unsupervised learning method for estimating the parameters of a finite mixture distribution. It works by introducing "hidden" or "latent" variables via Baum's auxiliary function $Q$ that allow the joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Graham W. Pulford

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Probit models are useful for modeling correlated discrete responses in many disciplines, including consumer choice data in economics and marketing. However, the Gaussian latent variable feature of probit models coupled with identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Patrick Ding , Guido Imbens , Zhaonan Qu , Yinyu Ye

Probabilistic graphical models are widely used to model complex systems under uncertainty. Traditionally, Gaussian directed graphical models are applied for analysis of large networks with continuous variables as they can provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

The EM algorithm is one of the most popular algorithm for inference in latent data models. The original formulation of the EM algorithm does not scale to large data set, because the whole data set is required at each iteration of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Hoi-To Wai , Eric Moulines , Marc Lavielle

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are nonparametric probabilistic models…

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll