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In biomedical settings, multitype recurrent events such as stroke and heart failure occur frequently, often concluding with a terminal event such as death. Understanding the links between these recurring and terminal events is fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Mithun Kumar Acharjee , AKM Fazlur Rahman

Recurrent event data are common in clinical studies when participants are followed longitudinally, and are often subject to a terminal event. With the increasing popularity of large pragmatic trials with a heterogeneous source population,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Xinyuan Tian , Maria Ciarleglio , Jiachen Cai , Erich Greene , Denise Esserman , Fan Li , Yize Zhao

In the context of clinical and biomedical studies, joint frailty models have been developed to study the joint temporal evolution of recurrent and terminal events, capturing both the heterogeneous susceptibility to experiencing a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Chiara Masci , Marta Spreafico , Francesca Ieva

In studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death with an additional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Marie Böhnstedt , Jutta Gampe , Monique A. A. Caljouw , Hein Putter

Recurrent events often serve as key endpoints in clinical studies but may be prematurely truncated by terminal events such as death, creating selection bias and complicating causal inference. To address this challenge, we develop a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yuki Ohnishi , Michael O. Harhay , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li

The number of recurrent events before a terminating event is often of interest. For instance, death terminates an individual's process of rehospitalizations and the number of rehospitalizations is an important indicator of economic cost. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Willem van den Boom , Maria De Iorio , Marta Tallarita

We address causal estimation in semi-competing risks settings, where a non-terminal event may be precluded by one or more terminal events. We define a principal-stratification causal estimand for treatment effects on the non-terminal event,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Karina Gelis-Cadena , Michael Daniels , Juned Siddique

Composite endpoints that combine recurrent non-fatal events with a terminal event are increasingly used in randomized clinical trials, yet conventional time-to-first event analyses may obscure clinically relevant information. We compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Adrien Orué , Derek Dinart , Laurent Billot , Carine Bellera , Virginie Rondeau

Often in follow-up studies intermediate events occur in some patients, such as reinterventions or adverse events. These intermediate events directly affect the shapes of their longitudinal profiles. Our work is motivated by two studies in…

Competing risk models are survival models with several events of interest acting in competition and whose occurrence is only observed for the event that occurs first in time. This paper presents a Bayesian approach to these models in which…

Medical studies for chronic disease are often interested in the relation between longitudinal risk factor profiles and individuals' later life disease outcomes. These profiles may typically be subject to intermediate structural changes due…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-22 Sandra Keizer , Zhuozhao Zhan , Vasan S. Ramachandran , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors.…

Time-to-event semi-competing risk endpoints may be correlated when both events are occurring on the same individual. These events and the association between them may also be influenced by individual characteristics. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-07 Yinghui Wei , Malgorzata Wojtys , Lexy Sorrell , Peter Rowe

Dynamic prediction of time-to-event outcomes using longitudinal data is highly useful in clinical research and practice. A common strategy is the joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data. The shared random effect model has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Wenhao Li , Zhe Yin , Liang Li

We propose autoregressive Bayesian semi-parametric models for waiting times between recurrent events. The aim is two-fold: inference on the effect of possibly time-varying covariates on the gap times and clustering of individuals based on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-28 Marta Tallarita , Maria De Iorio , Alessandra Guglielmi , James Malone-Lee

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have become a popular framework for studying the association between repeatedly measured biomarkers and clinical events. Nevertheless, addressing complex survival data structures, especially…

Motivated by recent findings that within-subject (WS) visit-to-visit variabilities of longitudinal biomarkers can be strong risk factors for health outcomes, this paper introduces and examines a new joint model of a longitudinal biomarker…

Observational studies of recurrent event rates are common in biomedical statistics. Broadly, the goal is to estimate differences in event rates under two treatments within a defined target population over a specified followup window.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-13 Arman Oganisian , Anthony Girard , Jon A. Steingrimsson , Patience Moyo

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

Regression modeling of recurrent and terminal events continues to present methodological challenges in survival analysis. Existing approaches either make unverifiable assumptions about the dependency structure between the two event types or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Anna Bellach , Michael R. Kosorok
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