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This study analyzes the impacts of exchange rate and inflation on exports in Turkiye. Annual data for the period 1995-2023 were used in the analysis. The Johansen cointegration analysis and Dynamic Least Squares (DOLS) method were employed…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-15 Emre Akusta

In this study, we aimed to examine the effect of VAT revenues and Deposit Interest Rates on Inflation in Turkey between 1985-2022. Within the framework of econometric analysis of the obtained data, the analysis was carried out using ADF…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-27 Ali Dogdu , Murad Kayacan

Throughout the past year, Turkey's central bank policy to decrease the nominal interest rate has caused episodes of severe fluctuations in Turkish lira exchange rates. According to these conditions, the daily return of the USD/TRY have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Mostafa R. Sarkandiz

This paper takes the development of Central bank digital currencies as a perspective, introduces it into the Baumol-Tobin money demand theoretical framework, establishes the transactional money demand model under Central bank Digital…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-15 Ruimin Song , Tiantian Zhao , Chunhui Zhou

The development of artificial intelligence has made significant contributions to the financial sector. One of the main interests of investors is price predictions. Technical and fundamental analyses, as well as econometric analyses, are…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-19 Asef Yelghi , Aref Yelghi , Shirmohammad Tavangari

This paper examines how trade policy uncertainty influences the correlation between U.S. stock indices and short-term government bonds. The objective is to assess whether policy-related shocks, especially those linked to trade tensions,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-27 Demetrio Lacava

This paper examines the relationship between net FDI inflows and real GDP for Turkey from 1970 to 2019. Although conventional economic growth theories and most empirical research suggest that there is a bi-directional positive effect…

General Economics · Economics 2021-06-16 Orhan Gokmen

This paper aims to analyze the relationship between yield curve -being a line of the interests in various maturities at a given time- and GDP growth in Turkey. The paper focuses on analyzing the yield curve in relation to its predictive…

General Economics · Economics 2020-01-02 Ipek Turker , Bayram Cakir

In this paper, we search whether the Benford's law is applicable to monitor daily changes in sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) quotes, which are acknowledged to be complex systems of economic content. This test is of paramount importance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-08 Marcel Ausloos , Rosella Castellano , Roy Cerqueti

This paper examines influences of brand dynamics on insurance premium productions in Turkey using a dynamic GMM panel estimation technique sampling 31 insurance firms over 2005-2015. The results reveals that brands trust appears as a chief…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-03 Yhlas Sovbetov

This study analyses the potential of renewable energy to reduce inflationary pressures arising from energy imports in Turkiye. Annual data for the period 1980-2022 are used in the analysis. In this study, unit root properties are examined…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-15 Emre Akusta

This paper mainly utilizes the ARDL model and principal component analysis to investigate the relationship between the volatility of China's Shanghai Composite Index returns and the variables of exchange rate and domestic and foreign bond…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-16 Jingchu Zhang

The prediction of foreign exchange rates, such as the US Dollar (USD) to Bangladeshi Taka (BDT), plays a pivotal role in global financial markets, influencing trade, investments, and economic stability. This study leverages historical…

Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial innovation like CDS could heighten…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-23 Nathalie Rey

We use granular regulatory data on euro interest rate swap trades between January 2021 and June 2023 to assess whether derivative positions of Italian banks can offset losses on their debt securities holdings should interest rates rise…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-23 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Dario Ruzzi , Anatoli Segura

This study examines the monthly returns in Turkish and American stock market indices to investigate whether these markets experience abnormal returns during some months of the calendar year. The data used in this research includes 212…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-13 Osman Gulseven

We review different approaches for measuring the impact of liquidity on CDS prices. We start with reduced form models incorporating liquidity as an additional discount rate. We review Chen, Fabozzi and Sverdlove (2008) and Buhler and Trapp…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-23 Damiano Brigo , Mirela Predescu , Agostino Capponi

To identify emerging interdependencies between traded stocks we investigate the behavior of the stocks of FTSE 100 companies in the period 2000-2015, by looking at daily stock values. Exploiting the power of information theoretical measures…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jacopo Rocchi , Enoch Yan Lok Tsui , David Saad

One of the major issues studied in finance that has always intrigued, both scholars and practitioners, and to which no unified theory has yet been discovered, is the reason why prices move over time. Since there are several well-known…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Sonia R. Bentes , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

We investigate the statistical properties of the EBS order book for the EUR/USD and USD/JPY currency pairs and the impact of a ten-fold tick size reduction on its dynamics. A large fraction of limit orders are still placed right at or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-30 Mehdi Lallouache , Frédéric Abergel
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