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Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting remains challenging as current numerical and AI-based weather models fail to satisfactorily represent extreme TC structure and intensity. Although intensity time-series forecasting has achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jun Liu , Xiaohui Zhong , Kai Zheng , Jiarui Li , Yifei Li , Tao Zhou , Wenxu Qian , Shun Dai , Ruian Tie , Yangyang Zhao , Hao Li

Estimating the location and intensity of tropical cyclones holds crucial significance for predicting catastrophic weather events. In this study, we approach this task as a detection and regression challenge, specifically over the North…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-14 Akash Agrawal , Mayesh Mohapatra , Abhinav Raja , Paritosh Tiwari , Vishwajeet Pattanaik , Neeru Jaiswal , Arpit Agarwal , Punit Rathore

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Extratropical cyclones are large-scale weather systems which are often the source of extreme weather events in Northern Europe, often leading to mass infrastructural damage and casualties. Such systems create a local vorticity maxima which…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-23 Paul Sharkey , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon J. Brown

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models that integrate coupled physical equations forward in time are the traditional tools for simulating atmospheric processes and forecasting weather. With recent advancements in deep learning, AI-based…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-22 Milton Gomez , Louis Poulain--Auzeau , Alexis Berne , Tom Beucler

Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity - particularly during periods of rapid intensification and rapid weakening - remains a challenge for operational meteorology, with high-stakes implications for disaster preparedness…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-29 Hongyu Qu , Hongxiong Xu , Lin Dong , Chunyi Xiang , Gaozhen Nie

Although the chaotic nature of the atmosphere may enable efficient control of tropical cyclones (TCs) via small-scale perturbations, few studies have proposed data-driven optimization methods to identify such perturbations. Here, we apply…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-30 Yohei Sawada , Masashi Minamide , Yuyue Yan , Kazumune Hashimoto , Le Duc

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

Tropical cyclone wind-intensity prediction is a challenging task considering drastic changes climate patterns over the last few decades. In order to develop robust prediction models, one needs to consider different characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Ratneel Vikash Deo , Rohitash Chandra , Anuraganand Sharma

Weather extremes are a major societal and economic hazard, claiming thousands of lives and causing billions of dollars in damage every year. Under climate change, their impact and intensity are expected to worsen significantly.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Antoine Blanchard , Nishant Parashar , Boyko Dodov , Christian Lessig , Themistoklis Sapsis

Given the destructive impacts of tropical cyclones, it is critical to have a reliable system for cyclone intensity detection. Various techniques are available for this purpose, each with differing levels of accuracy. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Vikas Dwivedi

Accurate cyclone forecasting is essential for minimizing loss of life, infrastructure damage, and economic disruption. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, though effective, are computationally intensive and prone to error due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ethan Zachary Lo , Dan Chie-Tien Lo

Detecting extreme events in large datasets is a major challenge in climate science research. Current algorithms for extreme event detection are build upon human expertise in defining events based on subjective thresholds of relevant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Yunjie Liu , Evan Racah , Prabhat , Joaquin Correa , Amir Khosrowshahi , David Lavers , Kenneth Kunkel , Michael Wehner , William Collins

Global artificial intelligence (AI) models are rapidly advancing and beginning to outperform traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models across metrics, yet predicting regional extreme weather such as tropical cyclone (TC)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-15 Chanh Kieu , Khanh Luong , Tri Nguyen

A tensor provides a concise way to codify the interdependence of complex data. Treating a tensor as a d-way array, each entry records the interaction between the different indices. Clustering provides a way to parse the complexity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Derek DeSantis , Phillip J. Wolfram , Katrina Bennett , Boian Alexandrov

We investigate the application of ByteTrack in the realm of multiple object tracking. ByteTrack, a simple tracking algorithm, enables the simultaneous tracking of multiple objects by strategically incorporating detections with a low…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Linh Van Ma , Muhammad Ishfaq Hussain , JongHyun Park , Jeongbae Kim , Moongu Jeon

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction is crucial for mitigating storm hazards, yet its complex dynamics pose challenges to traditional methods. Here, we introduce a Physics-Informed Residual Neural Ordinary Differential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Fan Meng

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are among the most devastating natural hazards, yet their intensity remains notoriously difficult to predict. NWP models are constrained by both computational demands and intrinsic predictability, while…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Shan Guo , Lei Chen , Yangyang Zhao , Yuetan Lin , Zeyi Niu , Xinyan Zhang , Ziyao Sun , Xiaohui Zhong , Hao Li

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting is crucial for early disaster warning and emergency decision-making. Numerous researchers have explored deep-learning methods to address computational and post-processing issues in operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xinyu Wang , Lei Liu , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

The prediction of the intensity, location and time of the landfall of a tropical cyclone well advance in time and with high accuracy can reduce human and material loss immensely. In this article, we develop a Long Short-Term memory based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey