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Related papers: Symmetric Vaccine Efficacy

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We introduce an extension of nonparametric DS inference for arbitrary univariate CDFs to the case in which some failure times are (right)-censored, and then apply this to the problem of assessing evidence regarding assertions about relative…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-26 Paul T. Edlefsen , Arthur P. Dempster

Previous work on causal inference has primarily focused on averages and conditional averages of treatment effects, with significantly less attention on variability and uncertainty in individual treatment responses. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Liyuan Xu , Bijan Mazaheri

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) constructs confidence intervals for the value of a target policy using data generated under a different behavior policy. Most existing inference methods focus on fixed target policies and may fail when the target…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Haoyu Wei

We consider the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in an infinite-metapopulation model (including SIS, SIR, SEIR,. . .), when the loss function is given by the effective reproduction number Re, which is defined…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

The Shapley value (SV) is adopted in various scenarios in machine learning (ML), including data valuation, agent valuation, and feature attribution, as it satisfies their fairness requirements. However, as exact SVs are infeasible to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Zijian Zhou , Xinyi Xu , Rachael Hwee Ling Sim , Chuan Sheng Foo , Kian Hsiang Low

The advent and subsequent widespread availability of preventive vaccines has altered the course of public health over the past century. Despite this success, effective vaccines to prevent many high-burden diseases, including HIV, have been…

The rapid outbreak of bird flu challenges the outcome of effective vaccine for the upcoming years. The recent research established different norms to eliminate flu pandemics. This can be made possible with skilled experimental analyses and…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-06 Baby Jerald , T. R. Gopalakrishnan Nair

A full Bayesian approach to the estimation of Vaccine Efficacy is presented, which is an improvement over the currently used exact method conditional on the total number of cases. As an example, we reconsider the statistical sections of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Mauro Gasparini

To understand the impact of vaccination, we consider a SIVR (susceptible-infected-vaccinated-recovered) model which combines impulsive vaccination into the classical SIR model. The final size is firstly defined and estimated, and then the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-29 Phyu Phyu Win , Zhigui Lin , Mengyun Zhang

We introduce a new measure of antigenic distance between influenza A vaccine and circulating strains. The measure correlates well with efficacies of the H3N2 influenza A component of the annual vaccine between 1971 and 2004, as do results…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Vishal Gupta , David J. Earl , Michael W. Deem

With the emergence and spread of infectious diseases with pandemic potential, such as COVID- 19, the urgency for vaccine development have led to unprecedented compressed and accelerated schedules that shortened the standard development…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

Post-market safety surveillance is an integral part of mass vaccination programs. Typically relying on sequential analysis of real-world health data as they accrue, safety surveillance is challenged by the difficulty of sequential multiple…

Foundation models have become a dominant paradigm in machine learning, achieving remarkable performance across diverse tasks through large-scale pretraining. However, these models often yield overconfident, uncalibrated predictions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Mehmet Ozgur Turkoglu , Dominik J. Mühlematter , Alexander Becker , Konrad Schindler , Helge Aasen

The Sliced-Wasserstein (SW) distance between probability measures is defined as the average of the Wasserstein distances resulting for the associated one-dimensional projections. As a consequence, the SW distance can be written as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-16 Rémi Leluc , Aymeric Dieuleveut , François Portier , Johan Segers , Aigerim Zhuman

Real-world vaccine effectiveness has increasingly been studied using matching-based approaches, particularly in observational cohort studies following the target trial emulation framework. Although matching is appealing in its simplicity,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Emily Wu , Elizabeth Rogawski McQuade , Mats Stensrud , Razieh Nabi , David Benkeser

Background: Despite lacking scientific support, vaccine hesitancy is widespread. While vaccine damage as a scientific fact is statistically highly uncommon, emerging social and technological forces have converted probable vaccine damage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-20 Simona Nicoleta Vulpe , Cosima Rughinis

Two observational methods are currently being used to monitor post-deployment vaccine effectiveness: the obvious crude method comparing rate testing positive per head of vaccinated population with that rate per head of unvaccinated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Roger F. Sewell

Randomization inference is a powerful tool in early phase vaccine trials when estimating the causal effect of a regimen against a placebo or another regimen. Randomization-based inference often focuses on testing either Fisher's sharp null…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li , Bo Zhang

We exploit the asymptotic normality of the extreme value theory (EVT) based estimators of the parameters of a symmetric L\'evy-stable distribution, to construct confidence intervals. The accuracy of these intervals is evaluated through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-11 Djamel Meraghni , Louiza Soltane

Explicit knowledge of total community-level immune seroprevalence is critical to developing policies to mitigate the social and clinical impact of SARS-CoV-2. Publicly available vaccination data are frequently cited as a proxy for…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-21 Yajuan Si , Leonard Covello , Siquan Wang , Theodore Covello , Andrew Gelman