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Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Mixture modeling, which considers the potential heterogeneity in data, is widely adopted for classification and clustering problems. Mixture models can be estimated using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, which works with the complete…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-18 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Genya Kobayashi

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is an evolving area of research motivated by its critical applications, such as detecting seismic activity, sensor failures in industrial plants, predicting crashes in the stock market, and so on. Across…

The world is not static: This causes real-world time series to change over time through external, and potentially disruptive, events such as macroeconomic cycles or the COVID-19 pandemic. We present an adaptive sampling strategy that…

Anomaly detection (AD), aiming to find samples that deviate from the training distribution, is essential in safety-critical applications. Though recent self-supervised learning based attempts achieve promising results by creating virtual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Guodong Wang , Yunhong Wang , Jie Qin , Dongming Zhang , Xiuguo Bao , Di Huang

This paper addresses the challenges of complex dependencies and diverse anomaly patterns in cloud service environments by proposing a dependency modeling and anomaly detection method that integrates contrastive learning. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Yue Xing , Yingnan Deng , Heyao Liu , Ming Wang , Yun Zi , Xiaoxuan Sun

Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Dongjoon Lee , Hyeryn Park , Changhee Lee

Covariate shift has been shown to sharply degrade both predictive accuracy and the calibration of uncertainty estimates for deep learning models. This is worrying, because covariate shift is prevalent in a wide range of real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Zachary Nado , Shreyas Padhy , D. Sculley , Alexander D'Amour , Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Jasper Snoek

Multivariate Time Series forecasting has been an increasingly popular topic in various applications and scenarios. Recently, contrastive learning and Transformer-based models have achieved good performance in many long-term series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Zhe Li , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Pengyun Wang , Zenglin Xu

Continuous efforts are being made to advance anomaly detection in various manufacturing processes to increase the productivity and safety of industrial sites. Deep learning replaced rule-based methods and recently emerged as a promising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Kukjin Choi , Jihun Yi , Jisoo Mok , Sungroh Yoon

Change point detection (CPD) and anomaly detection (AD) are essential techniques in various fields to identify abrupt changes or abnormal data instances. However, existing methods are often constrained to univariate data, face scalability…

Stock markets exhibit regime-dependent behavior where prediction models optimized for stable conditions often fail during volatile periods. Existing approaches typically treat all market states uniformly or require manual regime labeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

This paper investigates unsupervised anomaly detection in multivariate time-series data using reinforcement learning (RL) in the latent space of an autoencoder. A significant challenge is the limited availability of anomalous data, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Saba Sanami , Amir G. Aghdam

Detecting out of distribution (OOD) samples is of paramount importance in all Machine Learning applications. Deep generative modeling has emerged as a dominant paradigm to model complex data distributions without labels. However, prior work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Gowthami Somepalli , Yexin Wu , Yogesh Balaji , Bhanukiran Vinzamuri , Soheil Feizi

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

Object detection is a typical multi-task learning application, which optimizes classification and regression simultaneously. However, classification loss always dominates the multi-task loss in anchor-based methods, hampering the consistent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Wenxin Yu , Xueling Shen , Jiajie Hu , Dong Yin

Heterogeneous graph contrastive learning has received wide attention recently. Some existing methods use meta-paths, which are sequences of object types that capture semantic relationships between objects, to construct contrastive views.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Jianxiang Yu , Qingqing Ge , Xiang Li , Aoying Zhou

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has become increasingly important in real-world applications, where labeled data are often scarce. Many existing approaches rely on unsupervised learning to model normal patterns, but they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jaehyeop Hong , Youngbum Hur

With the development of deep learning, standard classification problems have achieved good results. However, conventional classification problems are often too idealistic. Most data in the natural world usually have imbalanced distribution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Yen-Chi Hsu , Cheng-Yao Hong , Wan-Cyuan Fan , Ming-Sui Lee , Davi Geiger , Tyng-Luh Liu