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Anomaly detection is a ubiquitous and challenging task relevant across many disciplines. With the vital role communication networks play in our daily lives, the security of these networks is imperative for smooth functioning of society. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Gopikrishna Rathinavel , Nikhil Muralidhar , Timothy O'Shea , Naren Ramakrishnan

Long-range ensemble forecasts are typically verified as anomalies with respect to a lead-time dependent climatological mean to remove the influence of systematic biases. However, common methods for calculating anomalies result in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-11 Christopher D. Roberts , Martin Leutbecher

Prediction of couriers' delivery timely rates in advance is essential to the logistics industry, enabling companies to take preemptive measures to ensure the normal operation of delivery services. This becomes even more critical during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Jinhui Yi , Huan Yan , Haotian Wang , Jian Yuan , Yong Li

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) plays a vital role in many industrial applications. While contrastive learning has gained momentum in the time series domain for its prowess in extracting meaningful representations from unlabeled data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Katrina Chen , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto

Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTTA) is proposed to migrate a source pre-trained model to continually changing target distributions, addressing real-world dynamism. Existing CTTA methods mainly rely on entropy minimization or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Jiaming Liu , Ran Xu , Senqiao Yang , Renrui Zhang , Qizhe Zhang , Zehui Chen , Yandong Guo , Shanghang Zhang

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Deep anomaly detection methods learn representations that separate between normal and anomalous images. Although self-supervised representation learning is commonly used, small dataset sizes limit its effectiveness. It was previously shown…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Tal Reiss , Yedid Hoshen

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Technological advancements have led to the rise of wearable devices with sensors that continuously monitor user activities, generating vast amounts of unlabeled data. This data is challenging to interpret, and manual annotation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Soham Khisa , Avijoy Chakma

Concept shift is a prevailing problem in natural tasks like medical image segmentation where samples usually come from different subpopulations with variant correlations between features and labels. One common type of concept shift in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Yijun Dong , Yuege Xie , Rachel Ward

Time series anomaly detection plays a vital role in a wide range of applications. Existing methods require training one specific model for each dataset, which exhibits limited generalization capability across different target datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Qichao Shentu , Beibu Li , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

A clear need for automatic anomaly detection applied to automotive testing has emerged as more and more attention is paid to the data recorded and manual evaluation by humans reaches its capacity. Such real-world data is massive, diverse,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Lucas Correia , Jan-Christoph Goos , Philipp Klein , Thomas Bäck , Anna V. Kononova

Detecting anomalies for multivariate time-series without manual supervision continues a challenging problem due to the increased scale of dimensions and complexity of today's IT monitoring systems. Recent progress of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Qinfeng Xiao , Shikuan Shao , Jing Wang

With the high requirements of automation in the era of Industry 4.0, anomaly detection plays an increasingly important role in higher safety and reliability in the production and manufacturing industry. Recently, autoencoders have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Yiwen Liao , Alexander Bartler , Bin Yang

Responsibly deploying artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) systems in high-stakes settings arguably requires not only proof of system reliability, but also continual, post-deployment monitoring to quickly detect and address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Drew Prinster , Xing Han , Anqi Liu , Suchi Saria

Subseasonal forecasting -- predicting temperature and precipitation 2 to 6 weeks ahead -- is critical for effective water allocation, wildfire management, and drought and flood mitigation. Recent international research efforts have advanced…

Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Dallas Card , Michael Zhang , Noah A. Smith

It has been shown that deep learning models can under certain circumstances outperform traditional statistical methods at forecasting. Furthermore, various techniques have been developed for quantifying the forecast uncertainty (prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Reliable detection of anomalies is crucial when deploying machine learning models in practice, but remains challenging due to the lack of labeled data. To tackle this challenge, contrastive learning approaches are becoming increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Puck de Haan , Sindy Löwe

The weighted average treatment effect (WATE) is a causal measure for the comparison of interventions in a specific target population, which may be different from the population where data are sampled from. For instance, when the goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Yebin Tao , Haoda Fu