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The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

Providing rigorous reachability guarantees for unknown complex systems is a crucial and challenging task. In this paper, we present a novel data-driven framework that addresses this challenge by leveraging Koopman operator theory. Instead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Jianqiang Ding , Shankar A. Deka

We present a novel $Q$-learning algorithm tailored to solve distributionally robust Markov decision problems where the corresponding ambiguity set of transition probabilities for the underlying Markov decision process is a Wasserstein ball…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) with unknown disturbance distribution and address this problem using the robust Markov decision process (RMDP) approach. We construct the empirical distribution of the unknown disturbance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Sivaramakrishnan Ramani

Distributional ambiguity sets provide quantifiable ways to characterize the uncertainty about the true probability distribution of random variables of interest. This makes them a key element in data-driven robust optimization by exploiting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez

This work establishes a crucial step toward advancing data-driven trajectory-based methods for stochastic systems with unknown mathematical dynamics. In contrast to scenario-based approaches that rely on independent and identically…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Abolfazl Lavaei

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a standard model for sequential decision-making problems and are widely used across many scientific areas, including formal methods and artificial intelligence (AI). MDPs do, however, come with the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Marnix Suilen , Thom Badings , Eline M. Bovy , David Parker , Nils Jansen

Learning-based approaches to verifying unknown Markov decision processes (MDPs) often employ uncertain MDPs. These models use, for example, confidence intervals to capture transition uncertainty and allow synthesis of policies that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Yannik Schnitzer , Alessandro Abate , David Parker

Controllers for autonomous systems that operate in safety-critical settings must account for stochastic disturbances. Such disturbances are often modelled as process noise, and common assumptions are that the underlying distributions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Alessandro Abate , Nils Jansen , David Parker , Hasan A. Poonawala , Marielle Stoelinga

In this paper, we compute finite sample bounds for data-driven approximations of the solution to stochastic reachability problems. Our approach uses a nonparametric technique known as kernel distribution embeddings, and provides…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Adam J. Thorpe , Kendric R. Ortiz , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We consider data-driven reachability analysis of discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems using conformal inference. We assume that we are not provided with a symbolic representation of the stochastic system, but instead have access to a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Navid Hashemi , Xin Qin , Lars Lindemann , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh

Controllers for dynamical systems that operate in safety-critical settings must account for stochastic disturbances. Such disturbances are often modeled as process noise in a dynamical system, and common assumptions are that the underlying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Thom Badings , Licio Romao , Alessandro Abate , David Parker , Hasan A. Poonawala , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to quantify safety for non-linear, discrete-time stochastic systems with unknown noise distribution. We define safety as the probability that the system remains in a given region of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

Precise and comprehensive situational awareness is a critical capability of modern autonomous systems. Deep neural networks that perceive task-critical details from rich sensory signals have become ubiquitous; however, their black-box…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Jordan Peper , Yan Miao , Sayan Mitra , Ivan Ruchkin

In this paper, we consider the problem of safety assessment for Markov decision processes without explicit knowledge of the model. We aim to learn probabilistic safety specifications associated with a given policy without compromising the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-11 Abhijit Mazumdar , Rafal Wisniewski , Manuela L. Bujorianu

Many real-world decision-making problems face the off-dynamics challenge: the agent learns a policy in a source domain and deploys it in a target domain with different state transitions. The distributionally robust Markov decision process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

In this work, we study verification and synthesis problems for safety specifications over unknown discrete-time stochastic systems. When a model of the system is available, barrier certificates have been successfully applied for ensuring…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Ali Salamati , Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Majid Zamani

Synthesising verifiably correct controllers for dynamical systems is crucial for safety-critical problems. To achieve this, it is important to account for uncertainty in a robust manner, while at the same time it is often of interest to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-16 Luke Rickard , Alessandro Abate , Kostas Margellos

We introduce a framework for the control of discrete-time switched stochastic systems with uncertain distributions. In particular, we consider stochastic dynamics with additive noise whose distribution lies in an ambiguity set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo