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We provide a complete characterization of the entire regularization curve of a modified two-part-code Minimum Description Length (MDL) learning rule for binary classification, based on an arbitrary prior or description language. Grunwald…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Xiaohan Zhu , Nathan Srebro

Orthogonal Matching pursuit (OMP) is a popular algorithm to estimate an unknown sparse vector from multiple linear measurements of it. Assuming exact sparsity and that the measurements are corrupted by additive Gaussian noise, the success…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-07 Chen Amiraz , Robert Krauthgamer , Boaz Nadler

We investigate two causes for adversarial vulnerability in deep neural networks: bad data and (poorly) trained models. When trained with SGD, deep neural networks essentially achieve zero training error, even in the presence of label noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Amartya Sanyal , Puneet K Dokania , Varun Kanade , Philip H. S. Torr

Logistic regression is one of the most popular methods in binary classification, wherein estimation of model parameters is carried out by solving the maximum likelihood (ML) optimization problem, and the ML estimator is defined to be the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Robert M. Freund , Paul Grigas , Rahul Mazumder

We consider in this paper the problem of estimating a parameter matrix from observations which are affected by two types of noise components: (i) a sparse noise sequence which, whenever nonzero can have arbitrarily large amplitude (ii) and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Laurent Bako

Functional bilevel methods estimate a lower-level function and plug it into a hypergradient, but this plug-in gradient can retain first-order bias when the lower-level problem is learned nonparametrically. To remove this bias, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Fares El Khoury , Houssam Zenati , Nathan Kallus , Michael Arbel , Aurélien Bibaut

A common issue in learning decision-making policies in data-rich settings is spurious correlations in the offline dataset, which can be caused by hidden confounders. Instrumental variable (IV) regression, which utilises a key unconfounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Daqian Shao , Ashkan Soleymani , Francesco Quinzan , Marta Kwiatkowska

The principle of optimism in the face of uncertainty is prevalent throughout sequential decision making problems such as multi-armed bandits and reinforcement learning (RL). To be successful, an optimistic RL algorithm must over-estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Aldo Pacchiano , Philip J. Ball , Jack Parker-Holder , Krzysztof Choromanski , Stephen Roberts

"Benign overfitting", where classifiers memorize noisy training data yet still achieve a good generalization performance, has drawn great attention in the machine learning community. To explain this surprising phenomenon, a series of works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Jinghui Chen , Yuan Cao , Quanquan Gu

Panel data methods are widely used in empirical analysis to address unobserved heterogeneity, but causal inference remains challenging when treatments are endogenous and confounding variables high-dimensional and potentially nonlinear.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Anna Baiardi , Paul S. Clarke , Andrea A. Naghi , Annalivia Polselli

This paper studies the challenging problem of estimating causal effects from observational data, in the presence of unobserved confounders. The two-stage least square (TSLS) method and its variants with a standard instrumental variable (IV)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Debo Cheng , Ziqi Xu , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Jixue Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Partial Multi-label Learning (PML) is a type of weakly supervised learning where each training instance corresponds to a set of candidate labels, among which only some are true. In this paper, we introduce \our{}, a novel probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Łukasz Struski , Adam Pardyl , Jacek Tabor , Bartosz Zieliński

Deep, overparameterized regression models are notorious for their tendency to overfit. This problem is exacerbated in heteroskedastic models, which predict both mean and residual noise for each data point. At one extreme, these models fit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Eliot Wong-Toi , Alex Boyd , Vincent Fortuin , Stephan Mandt

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

For multi-class classification under class-conditional label noise, we prove that the accuracy metric itself can be robust. We concretize this finding's inspiration in two essential aspects: training and validation, with which we address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Pengfei Chen , Junjie Ye , Guangyong Chen , Jingwei Zhao , Pheng-Ann Heng

Noisy PN learning is the problem of binary classification when training examples may be mislabeled (flipped) uniformly with noise rate rho1 for positive examples and rho0 for negative examples. We propose Rank Pruning (RP) to solve noisy PN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-11 Curtis G. Northcutt , Tailin Wu , Isaac L. Chuang

Conformal Prediction (CP) quantifies network uncertainty by building a small prediction set with a pre-defined probability that the correct class is within this set. In this study we tackle the problem of CP calibration based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Coby Penso , Jacob Goldberger

The linear coefficient in a partially linear model with confounding variables can be estimated using double machine learning (DML). However, this DML estimator has a two-stage least squares (TSLS) interpretation and may produce overly wide…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Corinne Emmenegger , Peter Bühlmann

End-to-end representation learning has become a powerful tool for estimating causal quantities from high-dimensional observational data, but its efficiency remained unclear. Here, we face a central tension: End-to-end representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Valentyn Melnychuk , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Stefan Feuerriegel

Double machine learning is a statistical method for leveraging complex black-box models to construct approximately unbiased treatment effect estimates given observational data with high-dimensional covariates, under the assumption of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-03 Nitai Fingerhut , Matteo Sesia , Yaniv Romano
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