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Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Anuvab Sen , Vedica Gupta , Chi Tang

In this technical report we compare different deep learning models for prediction of water depth rasters at high spatial resolution. Efficient, accurate, and fast methods for water depth prediction are nowadays important as urban floods are…

In this paper, we propose a data-based methodology to solve a multi-period stochastic optimal water flow (OWF) problem for water distribution networks (WDNs). The framework explicitly considers the pump schedule and water network head level…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Yi Guo , Shen Wang , Ahmad Taha , Tyler Summers

This paper studies the problem of dimension reduction, tailored to improving time series forecasting with high-dimensional predictors. We propose a novel Supervised Deep Dynamic Principal component analysis (SDDP) framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Zhanye Luo , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

The challenges in operational flood forecasting lie in producing reliable forecasts given constrained computational resources and within processing times that are compatible with near-real-time forecasting. Flood hydrodynamic models exploit…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-25 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Quentin Bonassies , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque , Kevin Marlis , Cédric David

Predicting flood for any location at times of extreme storms is a longstanding problem that has utmost importance in emergency management. Conventional methods that aim to predict water levels in streams use advanced hydrological models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Muhammed Sit , Ibrahim Demir

Time-series modeling has shown great promise in recent studies using the latest deep learning algorithms such as LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory). These studies primarily focused on watershed-scale rainfall-runoff modeling or streamflow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Zhongrun Xiang , Ibrahim Demir

Accurate precipitation forecasting is essential for hydrometeorological risk management, especially for anticipating extreme rainfall that can lead to flash flooding and infrastructure damage. This study introduces a diffusion-based deep…

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

The recent surge in Deep Learning (DL) research of the past decade has successfully provided solutions to many difficult problems. The field of quantitative analysis has been slowly adapting the new methods to its problems, but due to…

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

Real-time and accurate water supply forecast is crucial for water plant. However, most existing methods are likely affected by factors such as weather and holidays, which lead to a decline in the reliability of water supply prediction. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Yuhao Long , Jingcheng Wang , Jingyi Wang

The objective of this paper is to design novel multi-layer neural network architectures for multiscale simulations of flows taking into account the observed data and physical modeling concepts. Our approaches use deep learning concepts…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-14 Yating Wang , Siu Wun Cheung , Eric T. Chung , Yalchin Efendiev , Min Wang

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

Extreme weather frequently cause widespread outages in distribution systems (DSs), demonstrating the importance of hardening strategies for resilience enhancement. However, the well-utilization of real-world outage data with associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wenlong Shi , Hongyi Li , Zhaoyu Wang

Climate change poses complex challenges, with extreme weather events becoming increasingly frequent and difficult to model. Examples include the dynamics of Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overburdened CSS during heavy rainfall will overflow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-14 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

This work presents, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first generalizable and fully data-driven adaptive framework designed to stabilize deep learning (DL) autoregressive forecasting models over long time horizons, with the goal of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-06 Rodrigo Abadía-Heredia , Manuel Lopez-Martin , Soledad Le Clainche

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is challenging due to complex time series (TS) which express three seasonal patterns and a nonlinear trend. This paper proposes a novel hybrid hierarchical deep learning model that deals with multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Slawek Smyl , Grzegorz Dudek , Paweł Pełka

Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting (STELF) refers to the prediction of the immediate demand (in the next few hours to several days) for the power system. Various external factors, such as weather changes and the emergence of new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Qi Dong , Rubing Huang , Chenhui Cui , Dave Towey , Ling Zhou , Jinyu Tian , Jianzhou Wang