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Empty buses are standing at a bus station. $n$ passengers arrive, and they each board a bus completely at random (meaning that they choose uniformly and independently). Then all buses depart. We show that the more buses there are, the more…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-13 Imre Péter Tóth

A fixed number of passengers independently board one of several buses uniformly at random. The lonely passenger problem is to prove that the probability of at least one passenger being the only one in their bus is increasing in the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 John Haslegrave

We study a queueing system with Poisson arrivals on a bus line indexed by integers. The buses move at constant speed to the right and the time of service per customer getting on the bus is fixed. The customers arriving at station i wait for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Vincent Bansaye , Alain Camanes

This paper proposes a stochastic framework to evaluate the performance of public transit systems under short random service suspensions. We aim to derive closed-form formulations of the mean and variance of the queue length and waiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Baichuan Mo , Li Jin , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Zuo-Jun Max Shen , Jinhua Zhao

Motivated by applications that involve setting proper staffing levels for multi-server queueing systems with batch arrivals, we present a thorough study of the queue-length process $\{Q(t); t \geq 0\}$, departure process $\{D(t); t \geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-20 Andrew Daw , Brian Fralix , Jamol Pender

In this paper, we analyze the number of departures from an initially empty $M/M/\infty$ system in a finite time interval. We observe the system during an exponentially distributed period of time starting from the time origin. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-20 Fabrice Guillemin

Occupancy processes are a broad class of discrete time Markov chains on $\{0,1\}^{n}$ encompassing models from diverse areas. This model is compared to a collection of $n$ independent Markov chains on $\{0,1\}$, which we call the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Ross McVinish

A two-class Processor-Sharing queue with one impatient class is studied. Local exponential decay rates for its stationary distribution (N, M) are established in the heavy traffic regime where the arrival rate of impatient customers grows…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 R. Nasri , F. Simatos , A. Simonian

Persuasive scholarship presents how individual daily travel habits implicate congestion, environmental pollution, and the travel experience. However, the empirical characteristics and dynamics of travel habits remain poorly understood.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-07 Jiwon Kim , Jonathan Corcoran

We study three classes of continuous time Markov processes (inclusion process, exclusion process, independent walkers) and a family of interacting diffusions (Brownian energy process). For each model we define a boundary driven process…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Gioia Carinci , Cristian Giardina' , Claudio Giberti , Frank Redig

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

In this paper, we employ Markov process theory to prove asymptotic results for a class of stochastic processes which arise as solutions of a stochastic evolution inclusion and are given by the representation formula \begin{align*}…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alexander Nerlich

Passenger clustering based on travel records is essential for transportation operators. However, existing methods cannot easily cluster the passengers due to the hierarchical structure of the passenger trip information, namely: each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-27 Ziyue Li , Hao Yan , Chen Zhang , Andi Wang , Wolfgang Ketter , Lijun Sun , Fugee Tsung

We study a single-server priority queue with a finite number of classes, in which the arrivals follow a fractional Poisson process of index $\alpha \in (0,1]$ and the service completions are triggered by an independent fractional Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicos Georgiou , Enrico Scalas , Vladislav Vysotsky

The problem of appropriately matching items subject to compatibility constraints arises in a number of important applications. While most of the literature on matching theory focuses on a static setting with a fixed number of items, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Céline Comte

This paper examines a discrete-time queuing system with applications to telecommunications traffic. The arrival process is a particular Markov modulated process which belongs to the class of discrete batched Markovian arrival processes. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Richard G. Clegg

The focus of this paper is on the asymptotics of large-time numbers of customers in time-periodic Markovian many-server queues with customer abandonment in heavy traffic. Limit theorems are obtained for the periodic number-of-customers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We study a model of a polling system, that is, a collection of $d$ queues with a single server that switches from queue to queue. The service time distribution and arrival rates change randomly every time a queue is emptied. This model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Iain MacPhee , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Serguei Popov

Bus bunching is a perennial phenomenon that not only diminishes the efficiency of a bus system, but also prevents transit authorities from keeping buses on schedule. We present a physical theory of buses serving a loop of bus stops as a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-30 Vee-Liem Saw , Ning Ning Chung , Wei Liang Quek , Yi En Ian Pang , Lock Yue Chew
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