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Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

The advancement of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has been driven primarily by large-scale pre-training, but inference-time compute potential remains largely untapped. This work systematically investigates two questions: how do TSFMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Ruijin Hua , Zichuan Liu , Kun Zhang , Yiyuan Yang

Time series data usually contains local and global patterns. Most of the existing feature networks pay more attention to local features rather than the relationships among them. The latter is, however, also important yet more difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 Zhiwen Xiao , Xin Xu , Huanlai Xing , Shouxi Luo , Penglin Dai , Dawei Zhan

Large language models (LLMs) often fail to reason under temporal cutoffs: when prompted to answer from the standpoint of an earlier time, they exploit knowledge that became available only later. We study this failure through the lens of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Chenlu Ding , Jiancan Wu , Yanchen Luo , Zheyuan Liu , Yancheng Yuan , Xiang Wang

Multivariate time series present challenges to standard machine learning techniques, as they are often unlabeled, high dimensional, noisy, and contain missing data. To address this, we propose T-Rep, a self-supervised method to learn time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Archibald Fraikin , Adrien Bennetot , Stéphanie Allassonnière

Real-world time series typically exhibit complex temporal variations, making the time series classification task notably challenging. Recent advancements have demonstrated the potential of multi-scale analysis approaches, which provide an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Zhipeng Liu , Peibo Duan , Binwu Wang , Xuan Tang , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Yongsheng Huang , Bin Zhang

Most neural network-based classifiers extract features using several hidden layers and make predictions at the output layer by utilizing these extracted features. We observe that not all features are equally pronounced in all classes; we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Yifan Hao , Huiping Cao , K. Selcuk Candan , Jiefei Liu , Huiying Chen , Ziwei Ma

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are state-of-the-art in several sequential learning tasks, but they often require considerable amounts of data to generalise well. For many time series forecasting (TSF) tasks, only a few dozens of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-30 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Stephen J Roberts

Recently, multi-modal large language models have made significant progress. However, visual information lacking of guidance from the user's intention may lead to redundant computation and involve unnecessary visual noise, especially in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Zheng Cheng , Rendong Wang , Zhicheng Wang

Recent studies have indicated that vision models pre-trained on images can serve as time series foundation models (TSFMs) by reformulating time series forecasting (TSF) as image reconstruction. However, effective cross-modal transfer from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Xu Liu , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has become a key driver for enhancing the long chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, prevalent methods like GRPO often fail when task difficulty exceeds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Xinyi Wang , Jinyi Han , Zishang Jiang , Tingyun Li , Jiaqing Liang , Sihang Jiang , Zhaoqian Dai , Shuguang Ma , Fei Yu , Yanghua Xiao

Time-Series Mining (TSM) is an important research area since it shows great potential in practical applications. Deep learning models that rely on massive labeled data have been utilized for TSM successfully. However, constructing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Qianli Ma , Zhen Liu , Zhenjing Zheng , Ziyang Huang , Siying Zhu , Zhongzhong Yu , James T. Kwok

Symbolic representations of time series have proven to be effective for time series classification, with many recent approaches including SAX-VSM, BOSS, WEASEL, and MrSEQL. The key idea is to transform numerical time series to symbolic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Thach Le Nguyen , Georgiana Ifrim

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Feature extraction methods help in dimensionality reduction and capture relevant information. In time series forecasting (TSF), features can be used as auxiliary information to achieve better accuracy. Traditionally, features used in TSF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Alexey Chernikov , Chang Wei Tan , Pablo Montero-Manso , Christoph Bergmeir

Prompt optimization improves the reasoning abilities of large language models (LLMs) without requiring parameter updates to the target model. Following heuristic-based "Think step by step" approaches, the field has evolved in two main…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Andreea Nica , Ivan Zakazov , Nicolas Mario Baldwin , Saibo Geng , Robert West

Time Series Classification (TSC) has received much attention in the past two decades and is still a crucial and challenging problem in data science and knowledge engineering. Indeed, along with the increasing availability of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Aurélien Renault , Alexis Bondu , Vincent Lemaire , Dominique Gay

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have shown strong results on public benchmarks, prompting comparisons to a "BERT moment" for time series. Their effectiveness in industrial settings, however, remains uncertain. We examine why TSFMs…

The pre-trained foundation models (PFMs) have become essential for facilitating large-scale multimodal learning. Researchers have effectively employed the ``pre-train, prompt, and predict'' paradigm through prompt learning to induce…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Xiang Chen , Yixin Ou , Quan Feng , Lei Li , Piji Li , Haibo Ye , Sheng-Jun Huang , Shuofei Qiao , Shumin Deng , Huajun Chen , Ningyu Zhang

Short fixed-length inputs are the main bottleneck of deep learning methods in long time-series forecasting tasks. Prolonging input length causes overfitting, rapidly deteriorating accuracy. Our research indicates that the overfitting is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Chao Ma , Yikai Hou , Xiang Li , Yinggang Sun , Haining Yu