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The cost of adopting new technology is rarely analyzed and discussed, while it is vital for many software companies worldwide. Thus, it is crucial to consider Return On Investment (ROI) when performing data analytics. Decisions on "How much…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Noopur Zambare , Jacob Idoko , Jagrit Acharya , Gouri Ginde

Cryptocurrency markets exhibit pronounced momentum effects and regime-dependent volatility, presenting both opportunities and challenges for systematic trading strategies. We propose AdaptiveTrend, a multi-component algorithmic trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Duc Bui , Thanh Nguyen

Large language models (LLMs) can achieve strong reasoning performance with sufficient computation, but they do not inherently know how much computation a task requires. We study budgeted inference-time reasoning for multiple tasks under a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Muyang Zhao , Qi Qi , Hao Sun

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

In this work, we propose to apply a new model fusion and learning paradigm, known as Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), to the field of Bitcoin price prediction. Price prediction of financial product has always been a big topic in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Yuanhong Wu , Wei Ye , Jingyan Xu , D. Frank Hsu

Demand flexibility plays a pivotal role in modern power systems with high penetration of variable energy resources. In recent years, one of the fastest-growing flexible energy demands has been proof-of-work-based cryptocurrency mining…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-17 Rayan El Helou , Ali Menati , Le Xie

Bitcoin price forecasting is characterized by extreme volatility and non-stationarity, often defying traditional univariate time-series models over long horizons. This paper addresses a critical gap by integrating Global M2 Liquidity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Sravan Karthick T

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

Machine learning models are routinely integrated into process mining pipelines to carry out tasks like data transformation, noise reduction, anomaly detection, classification, and prediction. Often, the design of such models is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Paolo Ceravolo , Sylvio Barbon Junior , Ernesto Damiani , Wil van der Aalst

This study investigates the impact of varying sequence lengths on the accuracy of predicting cryptocurrency returns using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Utilizing the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as a threshold criterion, we aim to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Silas Baumann , Karl A. Busch , Hamza A. A. Gardi

We introduce a novel theoretical framework for Return On Investment (ROI) maximization in repeated decision-making. Our setting is motivated by the use case of companies that regularly receive proposals for technological innovations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , Tommaso Cesari , Yishay Mansour , Vianney Perchet

The regulatory framework of cryptocurrencies (and, in general, blockchain tokens) is of paramount importance. This framework drives nearly all key decisions in the respective business areas. In this work, a computational model is proposed…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-03-25 Elias Iosif , Klitos Christodoulou , Andreas Vlachos

Envisioned to be the future of secured distributed systems, blockchain networks have received increasing attention from both the industry and academia in recent years. However, blockchain mining processes demand high hardware costs and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Minghong Fang , Jia Liu

What happens to mining when the Bitcoin price changes, when there are mining supply shocks, the price of energy changes, or hardware technology evolves? We give precise answers based on the technical forces and incentives in the system. We…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-21 Nemo Semret

The process of continuously reallocating funds into financial assets, aiming to increase the expected return of investment and minimizing the risk, is known as portfolio management. Processing speed and energy consumption of portfolio…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Seyyed Amirhossein Saeidi , Forouzan Fallah , Soroush Barmaki , Hamed Farbeh

Experience has shown that trading in stock and cryptocurrency markets has the potential to be highly profitable. In this light, considerable effort has been recently devoted to investigate how to apply machine learning and deep learning to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Mohammadmahdi Ghahramani , Hamid Esmaeili Najafabadi

The rapidly evolving cryptocurrency market presents unique challenges for investment due to its inherent volatility and evolving regulatory environment. Collective price movements can be exploited to construct diversified portfolios with…

Popular Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Ruixue Jing , Ryota Kobayashi , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha

Cryptocurrencies, as decentralized digital assets, have experienced rapid growth and adoption, with over 23,000 cryptocurrencies and a market capitalization nearing \$1.1 trillion (about \$3,400 per person in the US) as of 2023. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Jannatun Nayeem Pinky , Ramya Akula

Financial firms are interested in simulation to discover whether a given algorithm involving financial machine learning will operate profitably. While many versions of this type of algorithm have been published recently by researchers, the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Mark Joseph Bennett