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In a world increasingly reliant on artificial intelligence, it is more important than ever to consider the ethical implications of artificial intelligence on humanity. One key under-explored challenge is labeler bias, which can create…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Luke Haliburton , Sinksar Ghebremedhin , Robin Welsch , Albrecht Schmidt , Sven Mayer

Prequestioning is an instructional strategy that involves taking practice tests on to-be-learned information followed by studying the correct answers. Despite promising results in laboratory studies, it has rarely been examined in authentic…

Physics Education · Physics 2024-03-06 Steven C. Pan , Jia Yi Han , Fun Man Fung

This paper presents a conformal prediction procedure to generate two-sided or one-sided prediction intervals for survival times in the presence of right censoring. Specifically, the method provides two-sided predictive bounds for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Chris Holmes , Ariane Marandon

In this paper we look at popular fairness methods that use causal counterfactuals. These methods capture the intuitive notion that a prediction is fair if it coincides with the prediction that would have been made if someone's race, gender…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-12 Jake Fawkes , Robin Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

The language of probability is used to define several different types of conditional statements. There are four principal types: subjunctive, material, existential, and feasibility. Two further types of conditionals are defined using the…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Joseph W. Norman

Large language models (LMs) are currently trained to predict tokens given document prefixes, enabling them to directly perform long-form generation and prompting-style tasks which can be reduced to document completion. Existing pretraining…

Unfortunately, the article "A Comparative Study to Benchmark Cross-project Defect Prediction Approaches" has a problem in the statistical analysis which was pointed out almost immediately after the pre-print of the article appeared online.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Steffen Herbold , Alexander Trautsch , Jens Grabowski

Large Language Models (LLMs) have made substantial progress in the past several months, shattering state-of-the-art benchmarks in many domains. This paper investigates LLMs' behavior with respect to gender stereotypes, a known issue for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Hadas Kotek , Rikker Dockum , David Q. Sun

The adoption of automated, data-driven decision making in an ever expanding range of applications has raised concerns about its potential unfairness towards certain social groups. In this context, a number of recent studies have focused on…

We analyze selected iterated conditionals in the framework of conditional random quantities. We point out that it is instructive to examine Lewis's triviality result, which shows the conditions a conditional must satisfy for its probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Giuseppe Sanfilippo , Angelo Gilio , David Over , Niki Pfeifer

Machine learning algorithms for prediction are increasingly being used in critical decisions affecting human lives. Various fairness formalizations, with no firm consensus yet, are employed to prevent such algorithms from systematically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Pratik Gajane , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Large language models (LLMs) are known to generate politically biased text. Yet, it remains unclear how such biases arise, making it difficult to design effective mitigation strategies. We hypothesize that these biases are rooted in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Tanise Ceron , Dmitry Nikolaev , Dominik Stammbach , Debora Nozza

All priors are not created equal. There are right and there are wrong priors. That is the main conclusion of this contribution. I use, a cooked-up example designed to create drama, and a typical textbook example to show the pervasiveness of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Carlos C. Rodriguez

In studies of discrimination, researchers often seek to estimate a causal effect of race or gender on outcomes. For example, in the criminal justice context, one might ask whether arrested individuals would have been subsequently charged or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Johann Gaebler , William Cai , Guillaume Basse , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel , Jennifer Hill

Moderation is crucial to promoting healthy on-line discussions. Although several `toxicity' detection datasets and models have been published, most of them ignore the context of the posts, implicitly assuming that comments maybe judged…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-02 John Pavlopoulos , Jeffrey Sorensen , Lucas Dixon , Nithum Thain , Ion Androutsopoulos

Some questions have multiple answers that are not equally correct, i.e. answers are different under different conditions. Conditions are used to distinguish answers as well as to provide additional information to support them. In this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Haitian Sun , William W. Cohen , Ruslan Salakhutdinov

The Supreme Court's federal preemption decisions are notoriously unpredictable. Traditional left-right voting alignments break down in the face of competing ideological pulls. The breakdown of predictable voting blocs leaves the business…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-08 Gregory M. Dickinson

The variable inclusion companions of logics have lately been thoroughly studied by multiple authors. There are broadly two types of these companions: the left and the right variable inclusion companions. Another type of companions of logics…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-09-02 Sankha S. Basu , Sayantan Roy

This research addresses the challenge of conducting interpretable causal inference between a binary treatment and its resulting outcome when not all confounders are known. Confounders are factors that have an influence on both the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Sohaib Kiani , Jared Barton , Jon Sushinsky , Lynda Heimbach , Bo Luo

This contribution to the debate on confidence limits focuses mostly on the case of measurements with `open likelihood', in the sense that it is defined in the text. I will show that, though a prior-free assessment of {\it confidence} is, in…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini
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