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Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

We introduce an end-to-end optimization strategy for quantum machine learning that directly targets performance under finite measurement resources, where learning objectives are defined directly at the level of task performance. The method…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 Theodoros Ilias , Fangjun Hu , Marti Vives , Hakan E. Türeci

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

Bayesian quantum estimation provides a robust framework for quantum technologies, especially in scenarios with limited data and minimal prior information. Yet, its application to continuous-variable Gaussian systems has remained limited and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Edward Gandar , Jesús Rubio

Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Stabilizer Entropy (SE) quantifies the spread of a state in the basis of Pauli operators. It is a computationally tractable measure of non-stabilizerness and thus a useful resource for quantum computation. SE can be moved around a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-06 Lorenzo Leone , Salvatore F. E. Oliviero , Gianluca Esposito , Alioscia Hamma

We study the problem of sequential experimental design to estimate the parametric component of a partially linear model with a Gaussian process prior. We consider an active learning setting where an experimenter adaptively decides which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 Shunsuke Horii

We propose a Bayesian Sequential procedure to test hypotheses concerning the Relative Risk between two specific treatments based on the binary data obtained from the two-arm clinical trial. Our development is based on the optimal sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

Accurately inferring the state of a quantum device from the results of measurements is a crucial task in building quantum information processing hardware. The predominant state estimation procedure, maximum likelihood estimation (MLE),…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-05-04 Robin Blume-Kohout

As a means of improving analysis of biological shapes, we propose an algorithm for sampling a Riemannian manifold by sequentially selecting points with maximum uncertainty under a Gaussian process model. This greedy strategy is known to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Tingran Gao , Shahar Z. Kovalsky , Ingrid Daubechies

We propose a novel a-posteriori error estimation technique where the target quantities of interest are ratios of high-dimensional integrals, as occur e.g. in PDE constrained Bayesian inversion and PDE constrained optimal control subject to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-07 Marcello Longo , Christoph Schwab , Andreas Stein

The Stochastic Series Expansion method (SSE) is a Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) technique working directly in the imaginary time continuum and thus avoiding "Trotter discretization" errors. Using a non-local "operator-loop update" it allows…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Dorneich , M. Troyer

Bayesian optimisation (BO) algorithms have shown remarkable success in applications involving expensive black-box functions. Traditionally BO has been set as a sequential decision-making process which estimates the utility of query points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Rafael Oliveira , Louis Tiao , Fabio Ramos

The Ramsey sequence is a canonical example of a quantum phase measurement for a spin qubit. In Ramsey measurements, the measurement efficiency can be optimized through careful selection of settings for the phase accumulation time setting,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-10-27 Robert D. McMichael , Sergey Dushenko , Sean M. Blakley

This paper introduces a quasi-Bayesian method that integrates frequentist nonparametric estimation with Bayesian inference in a two-stage process. Applied to an endogenous discrete choice model, the approach first uses kernel or sieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-20 Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

The design of multiple experiments is commonly undertaken via suboptimal strategies, such as batch (open-loop) design that omits feedback or greedy (myopic) design that does not account for future effects. This paper introduces new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Cross entropy (XE) measure is a widely used benchmarking to demonstrate quantum computational advantage from sampling problems, such as random circuit sampling using superconducting qubits and boson sampling (BS). We present a heuristic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-19 Changhun Oh , Liang Jiang , Bill Fefferman

We study the estimation of an infinitesimal rotation of a spin-j system, characterized by two unknown phases, and compare the estimation precision achievable with two different strategies. The first is a standard `joint estimation'…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-06-04 Cyril Vaneph , Tommaso Tufarelli , Marco G. Genoni

We describe a measurement device principle based on discrete iterations of Bayesian updating of system state probability distributions. Although purely classical by nature, these measurements are accompanied with a progressive collapse of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Michel Bauer , Denis Bernard , Tristan Benoist
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