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Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

In nonlinear dynamics, basins of attraction link a given set of initial conditions to its corresponding final states. This notion appears in a broad range of applications where several outcomes are possible, which is a common situation in…

Accurate ocean modeling and coastal hazard prediction depend on high-resolution bathymetric data; yet, current worldwide datasets are too coarse for exact numerical simulations. While recent deep learning advances have improved earth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Jose Marie Antonio Minoza

Dam breach models are commonly used to predict outflow hydrographs of potentially failing dams and are key ingredients for evaluating flood risk. In this paper a new dam breach modeling framework is introduced that shall improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-14 S. J. Peter , A. Siviglia , J. Nagel , S. Marelli , R. M. Boes , D. Vetsch , B. Sudret

We introduce in this study an algorithm for the imaging of faults and of slip fields on those faults. The physics of this problem are modeled using the equations of linear elasticity. We define a regularized functional to be minimized for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Darko Volkov , Joan Calafell Sandiumenge

Uncertainty quantification for deep learning is a challenging open problem. Bayesian statistics offer a mathematically grounded framework to reason about uncertainties; however, approximate posteriors for modern neural networks still…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 Nicolas Brosse , Carlos Riquelme , Alice Martin , Sylvain Gelly , Éric Moulines

In the era of big data, machine learning (ML) has become a powerful tool in various fields, notably impacting structural dynamics. ML algorithms offer advantages by modeling physical phenomena based on data, even in the absence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Wang-Ji Yan , Lin-Feng Mei , Jiang Mo , Costas Papadimitriou , Ka-Veng Yuen , Michael Beer

In the framework of uncertainty quantification, we consider a quantity of interest which depends non-smoothly on the high-dimensional parameter representing the uncertainty. We show that, in this situation, the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Laura Scarabosio

Iterative geostatistical seismic inversion integrates seismic and well data to infer the spatial distribution of subsurface elastic properties. These methods provide limited assessment to the spatial uncertainty of the inverted elastic…

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth

A novel probabilistic numerical method for quantifying the uncertainty induced by the time integration of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. Departing from the classical strategy to randomize ODE solvers by adding a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for solving expensive, black-box optimization problems. Stochastic programming concerns optimization under uncertainty where, typically, average performance is the quantity of interest. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

Efficient and high-fidelity prior sampling and inversion for complex geological media is still a largely unsolved challenge. Here, we use a deep neural network of the variational autoencoder type to construct a parametric low-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Eric Laloy , Romain Hérault , John Lee , Diederik Jacques , Niklas Linde

Predicting microporosity and permeability in clastic reservoirs is a challenge in reservoir quality assessment, especially in formations where direct measurements are difficult or expensive. These reservoir properties are fundamental in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-03-24 Muhammad Risha , Mohamed Elsaadany , Paul Liu

We propose an extension of the discretization approaches for multilayer shallow water models, aimed at making them more flexible and efficient for realistic applications to coastal flows. A novel discretization approach is proposed, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Luca Bonaventura , Enrique D. Fernández-Nieto , José Garres-Díaz , Gladys Narbona-Reina

Many imaging techniques for biological systems -- like fixation of cells coupled with fluorescence microscopy -- provide sharp spatial resolution in reporting locations of individuals at a single moment in time but also destroy the dynamics…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-15 Christopher E. Miles , Scott A. McKinley , Fangyuan Ding , Richard B. Lehoucq

Stokes inversion techniques are very powerful methods for obtaining information on the thermodynamic and magnetic properties of solar and stellar atmospheres. In recent years, very sophisticated inversion codes have been developed that are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-23 C. J. Díaz Baso , A. Asensio Ramos , J. de la Cruz Rodríguez

Geothermal field modeling is often associated with uncertainties related to the subsurface static properties and the dynamics of fluid flow and heat transfer. Uncertainty quantification using simulations is a useful tool to design optimum…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-12-13 Hussein Hoteit , Xupeng He , Bicheng Yan , Volker Vahrenkam

Inferring parameters of models of biochemical kinetics from single-cell data remains challenging because of the uncertainty arising from the intractability of the likelihood function of stochastic reaction networks. Such uncertainty falls…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Zekai Li , Mauricio Barahona , Philipp Thomas

Seismic inversion is essential for geophysical exploration and geological assessment, but it is inherently subject to significant uncertainty. This uncertainty stems primarily from the limited information provided by observed seismic data,…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-12 Luping Qu , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Laurent Demanet
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