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In survival analysis, longitudinal information on the health status of a patient can be used to dynamically update the predicted probability that a patient will experience an event of interest. Traditional approaches to dynamic prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Mirko Signorelli

Motion prediction and cost evaluation are vital components in the decision-making system of autonomous vehicles. However, existing methods often ignore the importance of cost learning and treat them as separate modules. In this study, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Zhiyu Huang , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Yuxiao Chen , Marco Pavone , Chen Lv

Estimation of distribution algorithms (EDA) are stochastic optimization algorithms. EDA establishes a probability model to describe the distribution of solution from the perspective of population macroscopically by statistical learning…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Zhenyu Liang , Yunfan Li , Zhongwei Wan

We present a novel approach to differential cost analysis that, given a program revision, attempts to statically bound the difference in resource usage, or cost, between the two program versions. Differential cost analysis is particularly…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Đorđe Žikelić , Bor-Yuh Evan Chang , Pauline Bolignano , Franco Raimondi

Matching is a popular nonparametric covariate adjustment strategy in empirical health services research. Matching helps construct two groups comparable in many baseline covariates but different in some key aspects under investigation. In…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-17 Chang Chen , Zhiyu Qian , Bo Zhang

We present a novel approach to uncertainty quantification in classification tasks based on label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures. This label-wise perspective allows uncertainty to be quantified at the individual class level,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Lisa Wimmer , Thomas Nagler , Eyke Hüllermeier

Weighted conformal prediction (WCP) has been commonly used to quantify prediction uncertainty under covariate shift. However, the effectiveness of WCP relies heavily on the degree of overlap between the training and test covariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Mufang Ying , Wenge Guo , Koulik Khamaru , Ying Hung

We consider the problem of approximate belief-state monitoring using particle filtering for the purposes of implementing a policy for a partially-observable Markov decision process (POMDP). While particle filtering has become a widely-used…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Pascal Poupart , Luis E. Ortiz , Craig Boutilier

Selecting third-party software packages in open-source ecosystems like Python is challenging due to the large number of alternatives and limited transparent evidence for comparison. Generative AI tools are increasingly used in development…

Non-destructive evaluation (NDE) inspections are an integral part of asset integrity management. The relationship between the condition of interest and the quantity measured by NDE is described with probabilistic models such as PoD or ROC…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-05 Elizabeth Bismut , Daniel Straub

Computational variant effect predictors (VEPs) are providing increasingly strong evidence to classify the pathogenicity of missense variants. Precision vs. recall analysis is useful in evaluating VEP performance, especially when adjusted…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-16 Cindy Zhang , Frederick P. Roth

Human verification under adversarial information flow operates as a cost-bounded decision procedure constrained by working memory limits and cognitive biases. We introduce the Verification Cost Asymmetry (VCA) coefficient, formalizing it as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Joshua Luberisse

In decentralized network control, communication plays a critical role by transforming local observations into shared knowledge, enabling agents to coordinate their actions. This paper investigates how communication facilitates cooperation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Mengyuan Zhao , Tobias J. Oechtering , Maël Le Treust

A bioinformatics platform is introduced aimed at identifying models of disease-specific pathways, as well as a set of network measures that can quantify changes in terms of global structure or single link disruptions.The approach integrates…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-01-17 A. Barla , S. Riccadonna , S. Masecchia , M. Squillario , M. Filosi , G. Jurman , C. Furlanello

This article proposes a unified framework for portfolio optimization (PO), recognizing an object called the `gain probability density function (PDF)' as the fundamental object of the problem from which any objective function could be…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Jean-Patrick Mascomère , Jérémie Messud , Yagnik Chatterjee , Isabel Barros Garcia

Evaluating forecasts is essential to understand and improve forecasting and make forecasts useful to decision makers. A variety of R packages provide a broad variety of scoring rules, visualisations and diagnostic tools. One particular…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Nikos I. Bosse , Hugo Gruson , Anne Cori , Edwin van Leeuwen , Sebastian Funk , Sam Abbott

Randomized controlled experiments assess new policy impacts on performance metrics to inform launch decisions. Traditional approaches evaluate metrics independently despite correlations, and mixed results (e.g., positive revenue impact,…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-29 Hoiyi Ng , Guido Imbens

Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a nonparametric, data driven technique used to perform relative performance analysis among a group of comparable decision making units (DMUs). Efficiency is assessed by comparing input and output data for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Emma Stubington , Matthias Ehrgott , Omid Nohadani

Health economic evaluation studies are widely used in public health to assess health strategies in terms of their cost-effectiveness and inform public policies. We developed an R package for Markov models implementing most of the modelling…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-26 Antoine Filipović-Pierucci , Kevin Zarca , Isabelle Durand-Zaleski

Innovative HealthTech teams develop Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems in contexts where ethical expectations and organizational priorities must be balanced under severe resource constraints. While Responsible AI practices are expected to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Svitlana Surodina , Sinem Görücü , Lili Golmohammadi , Emelia Delaney , Rita Borgo
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