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Related papers: Change Point Detection for Functional Autoregressi…

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We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. In this article, the problem of detecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

The purpose of the present paper is to investigate on a class of spherical functional autoregressive processes in order to introduce and study LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) type estimators for the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Alessia Caponera , Claudio Durastanti , Anna Vidotto

We propose a novel approach for change-point detection and parameter learning in multivariate non-stationary time series exhibiting oscillatory behaviour. We approximate the process through a piecewise function defined by a sum of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Bianco , Lorenzo Cappello

While change point detection in time series data has been extensively studied, little attention has been given to its generalisation to data observed on spheres or other manifolds, where changes may occur within spatially complex regions…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Di Su , Yining Chen , Tengyao Wang

This paper develops a unified and computationally efficient method for change-point estimation along the time dimension in a non-stationary spatio-temporal process. By modeling a non-stationary spatio-temporal process as a piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-09 Zifeng Zhao , Ting Fung Ma , Wai Leong Ng , Chun Yip Yau

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

This article proposes an estimation method to detect breakpoints for linear time series models with their parameters that jump scarcely. Its basic idea owes the group LASSO (group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator). The method…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Mikio Ito

Large volumes of spatiotemporal data, characterized by high spatial and temporal variability, may experience structural changes over time. Unlike traditional change-point problems, each sequence in this context consists of function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Fengyi Song , Decai Liang , Changliang Zou

We develop a new approach for detecting changes in the behavior of stochastic processes and random fields based on tensor product representations such as the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion. From the associated eigenspaces of the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

This article introduces a new methodology model both discrete and continuous spatial heterogeneity simultaneously with an application in detection of hyper-plain in thermohaline circulation. To enable the data-driven detection of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Cuiwen Che , Yifan Chen , Zhaoyu Xing , Wei Zhong

We analyze a varying-coefficient dynamic spatial autoregressive model with spatial fixed effects. One salient feature of the model is the incorporation of multiple spatial weight matrices through their linear combinations with varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Zetai Cen , Yudong Chen , Clifford Lam

The aim of this paper is to define a nonlinear least squares estimator for the spectral parameters of a spherical autoregressive process of order 1 in a parametric setting. Furthermore, we investigate on its asymptotic properties, such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Alessia Caponera , Claudio Durastanti

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Assuming stationarity is unrealistic in many time series applications. A more realistic alternative is to allow for piecewise stationarity, where the model is allowed to change at given time points. We propose a three-stage procedure for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-31 Abolfazl Safikhani , Ali Shojaie

Recent advances in local models for point processes have highlighted the need for flexible methodologies to account for the spatial heterogeneity of external covariates influencing process intensity. In this work, we introduce tessellated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Nicoletta D'Angelo

In this paper, we focus on isotropic and stationary sphere-cross-time random fields. We first introduce the class of spherical functional autoregressive-moving average processes (SPHARMA), which extend in a natural way the spherical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Alessia Caponera

This article investigates the support detection problem using the LASSO estimator in the space of measures. More precisely, we study the recovery of a discrete measure (spike train) from few noisy observations (Fourier samples, moments...)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Jean-Marc Azais , Yohann De Castro , Fabrice Gamboa
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