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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), also known as likelihood-free methods, have become a favourite tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models, primarily in population genetics but also in financial analyses. We advocated in…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-18 Christian Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Natesh S. Pillai

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

This paper focuses on the relation between computational learning theory and resource-bounded dimension. We intend to establish close connections between the learnability/nonlearnability of a concept class and its corresponding size in…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Ricard Gavalda , Maria Lopez-Valdes , Elvira Mayordomo , N. V. Vinodchandran

In Part I, we defined a LASSO condition number and developed an algorithm -- for computing support sets (feature selection) of the LASSO minimisation problem -- that runs in polynomial time in the number of variables and the logarithm of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Alexander Bastounis , Felipe Cucker , Anders C. Hansen

Accurate estimates of causal effects play a key role in decision-making across applications such as healthcare, economics, and operations. In the absence of randomized experiments, a common approach to estimating causal effects uses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Davin Choo , Chandler Squires , Arnab Bhattacharyya , David Sontag

The present paper is about estimation and prediction in high-dimensional additive models under a sparsity assumption ($p\gg n$ paradigm). A PAC-Bayesian strategy is investigated, delivering oracle inequalities in probability. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Benjamin Guedj , Pierre Alquier

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

The increasing reliance on human preference feedback to judge AI-generated pseudo labels has created a pressing need for principled, budget-conscious data acquisition strategies. We address the crucial question of how to optimally allocate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Zihan Dong , Xiaotian Hou , Ruijia Wu , Linjun Zhang

We show that every universally truthful randomized mechanism for combinatorial auctions with submodular valuations that provides $m^{\frac 1 2 -\epsilon}$ approximation to the social welfare and uses value queries only must use…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Shahar Dobzinski

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in applications requiring factual accuracy, yet their outputs often contain hallucinated responses. While fact-checking can mitigate these errors, existing methods typically retrieve…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Haoran Wang , Maryam Khalid , Qiong Wu , Jian Gao , Cheng Cao

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mobina Pournemat , Keivan Rezaei , Gaurang Sriramanan , Arman Zarei , Jiaxiang Fu , Yang Wang , Hamid Eghbalzadeh , Soheil Feizi

Batch reinforcement learning (RL) is important to apply RL algorithms to many high stakes tasks. Doing batch RL in a way that yields a reliable new policy in large domains is challenging: a new decision policy may visit states and actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-23 Yao Liu , Adith Swaminathan , Alekh Agarwal , Emma Brunskill

Conformal prediction (CP) is widely presented as distribution-free predictive inference with finite-sample marginal coverage under exchangeability. We argue that CP is best understood as a rank-calibrated descendant of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

Inferential models have been proposed for valid and efficient prior-free probabilistic inference. As it gradually gained popularity, this theory is subject to further developments for practically challenging problems. This paper considers…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-15 Jiasen Yang , Xiao Wang , Chuanhai Liu

This work addresses integrating probabilistic propositional logic constraints into the distribution encoded by a probabilistic circuit (PC). PCs are a class of tractable models that allow efficient computations (such as conditional and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Soroush Ghandi , Benjamin Quost , Cassio de Campos

We study the recursion-theoretic complexity of Positive Almost-Sure Termination ($\mathsf{PAST}$) in an imperative programming language with rational variables, bounded nondeterministic choice, and discrete probabilistic choice. A program…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Rupak Majumdar , V. R. Sathiyanarayana

Augmenting the input of algorithms with predictions is an algorithm design paradigm that suggests leveraging a (possibly erroneous) prediction to improve worst-case performance guarantees when the prediction is perfect (consistency), while…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Georgios Amanatidis , Evangelos Markakis , Christodoulos Santorinaios , Guido Schäfer , Panagiotis Tsamopoulos , Artem Tsikiridis

We introduce the problem of learning conditional averages in the PAC framework. The learner receives a sample labeled by an unknown target concept from a known concept class, as in standard PAC learning. However, instead of learning the…

The arrival of AI techniques in computations, with the potential for hallucinations and non-robustness, has made trustworthiness of algorithms a focal point. However, trustworthiness of the many classical approaches are not well understood.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Alexander Bastounis , Felipe Cucker , Anders C. Hansen

Functional Distributional Semantics provides a computationally tractable framework for learning truth-conditional semantics from a corpus. Previous work in this framework has provided a probabilistic version of first-order logic, recasting…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Guy Emerson
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