English
Related papers

Related papers: Implicit score-driven filters for time-varying par…

200 papers

Can stochastic gradient methods track a moving target? We study the problem of tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and possible model misspecification. Gradient-based filters update the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Simon Donker van Heel , Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

We develop methods for parameter estimation in settings with large-scale data sets, where traditional methods are no longer tenable. Our methods rely on stochastic approximations, which are computationally efficient as they maintain one…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-23 Dustin Tran , Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

A multivariate score-driven filter is developed to extract signals from noisy vector processes. By assuming that the conditional location vector from a multivariate Student's t distribution changes over time, we construct a robust filter…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-31 Enzo D'Innocenzo , Alessandra Luati , Mario Mazzocchi

During typical gradient-based training of deep neural networks, all of the model's parameters are updated at each iteration. Recent work has shown that it is possible to update only a small subset of the model's parameters during training,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Yi-Lin Sung , Varun Nair , Colin Raffel

In this paper, we propose a novel implicit semantic data augmentation (ISDA) approach to complement traditional augmentation techniques like flipping, translation or rotation. Our work is motivated by the intriguing property that deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Yulin Wang , Xuran Pan , Shiji Song , Hong Zhang , Cheng Wu , Gao Huang

Iterative procedures for parameter estimation based on stochastic gradient descent allow the estimation to scale to massive data sets. However, in both theory and practice, they suffer from numerical instability. Moreover, they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Panos Toulis , Dustin Tran , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Imitation learning (IL) has seen remarkable progress, yet field deployment of IL-powered robots remains hindered by the challenge of out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios. Fine-tuning pre-trained policies with end-user demonstrations…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Noushad Sojib , Momotaz Begum

Score-driven models update time-varying parameters using conditional likelihood scores. This paper develops a Bayesian interpretation of such updates through Tweedie's formula, which connects posterior mean corrections with marginal scores.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-27 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

Score-driven (SD) models are a standard tool in statistics and econometrics, with applications in hundreds of published articles in the past decade. We provide an information-theoretic characterization of SD updates based on reductions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Ramon de Punder , Timo Dimitriadis , Rutger-Jan Lange

Motivated by the increasing abundance of data describing real-world networks that exhibit dynamical features, we propose an extension of the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) that accommodates the time variation of its parameters.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Domenico Di Gangi , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

We propose score dynamics (SD), a general framework for learning accelerated evolution operators with large timesteps from molecular-dynamics simulations. SD is centered around scores, or derivatives of the transition log-probability with…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Tim Hsu , Babak Sadigh , Vasily Bulatov , Fei Zhou

Temporal prediction is inherently uncertain, but representing the ambiguity in natural image sequences is a challenging high-dimensional probabilistic inference problem. For natural scenes, the curse of dimensionality renders explicit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Pierre-Étienne H. Fiquet , Eero P. Simoncelli

This paper addresses the problem of learning linear dynamical systems from noisy observations. In this setting, existing algorithms either yield biased parameter estimates or have large sample complexities. We resolve these issues by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Yuyang Zhang , Xinhe Zhang , Jia Liu , Na Li

Temporal difference (TD) learning is a foundational algorithm in reinforcement learning (RL). For nearly forty years, TD learning has served as a workhorse for applied RL as well as a building block for more complex and specialized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hwanwoo Kim , Panos Toulis , Eric Laber

We consider distributed optimization under communication constraints for training deep learning models. We propose a new algorithm, whose parameter updates rely on two forces: a regular gradient step, and a corrective direction dictated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-29 Yunfei Teng , Wenbo Gao , Francois Chalus , Anna Choromanska , Donald Goldfarb , Adrian Weller
‹ Prev 1 2 3 10 Next ›