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India runs the fourth largest railway transport network size carrying over 8 billion passengers per year. However, the travel experience of passengers is frequently marked by delays, i.e., late arrival of trains at stations, causing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-11 Ramashish Gaurav , Biplav Srivastava

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Most large cities are spanned by more than one transportation system. These different modes of transport have usually been studied separately: it is however important to understand the impact on urban systems of the coupling between them…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Emanuele Strano , Saray Shai , Simon Dobson , Marc Barthelemy

Abrupt changes in the environment, such as unforeseen events due to climate change, have triggered massive and precipitous changes in human mobility. The ability to quickly predict traffic patterns in different scenarios has become more…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-12 Pavan Yedavalli , Krishna Kumar , Paul Waddell

Persuasive scholarship presents how individual daily travel habits implicate congestion, environmental pollution, and the travel experience. However, the empirical characteristics and dynamics of travel habits remain poorly understood.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-07 Jiwon Kim , Jonathan Corcoran

A major source of delays in public transportation is the clustering instability, which causes late buses to become progressively later while the buses trailing it become progressively earlier. In this paper, we study this instability and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-21 Sam A. Hill

We develop a numerical model using both artificial and empirical inputs to analyze taxi dynamics in an urban setting. More specifically, we quantify how the supply and demand for taxi services, the underlying road network, and the public…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-23 Bo Yang , Shen Ren , Erika Fille Legara , Zengxiang Li , Edward Y. X. Ong , Louis Lin , Christopher Monterola

We present BusTr, a machine-learned model for translating road traffic forecasts into predictions of bus delays, used by Google Maps to serve the majority of the world's public transit systems where no official real-time bus tracking is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Richard Barnes , Senaka Buthpitiya , James Cook , Alex Fabrikant , Andrew Tomkins , Fangzhou Xu

The Dutch railway network is one of the busiest in the world, with delays being a prominent concern for the principal passenger railway operator NS. This research addresses a gap in delay prediction studies within the Dutch railway network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Merel Kampere , Ali Mohammed Mansoor Alsahag

With the widespread installation of location-enabled devices on public transportation, public vehicles are generating massive amounts of trajectory data in real time. However, using these trajectory data for meaningful analysis requires…

Databases · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Kien Nguyen , Jingyun Yang , Yijun Lin , Jianfa Lin , Yao-Yi Chiang , Cyrus Shahabi

Predicting future bus trip chains for an existing user is of great significance for operators of public transit systems. Existing methods always treat this task as a time-series prediction problem, but the 1-dimensional time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Xiannan Huang , Yixin Chen , Quan Yuan , Chao Yang

Demand for sustainable mobility is particularly high in urban areas. Hence, there is a growing need to predict when people will decide to use different travel modes with an emphasis on environmentally friendly travel modes. As travel mode…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner , Jakub Zawieska , Przemysław Wrona

Delay or queue length information has the potential to influence the decision of a customer to use a service system. Thus, it is imperative for service system managers to understand how the information that they provide will affect the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Jamol Pender , Richard H. Rand , Elizabeth Wesson

The prediction of traffic congestion can serve a crucial role in making future decisions. Although many studies have been conducted regarding congestion, most of these could not cover all the important factors (e.g., weather conditions). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Rafed Muhammad Yasir , Moumita Asad , Naushin Nower , Mohammad Shoyaib

Understanding how delayed information impacts queueing systems is an important area of research. However, much of the current literature neglects one important feature of many queueing systems, namely non-stationary arrivals. Non-stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Jamol Pender , Richard H. Rand , Elizabeth Wesson

The majority of public transport vehicles are fitted with Automatic Vehicle Location (AVL) systems generating a continuous stream of data. The availability of this data has led to a substantial body of literature addressing the development…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Thilo Reich , Marcin Budka , Derek Robbins , David Hulbert

Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Charul , Pravesh Biyani

The idea of modern urban systems and smart cities requires monitoring and careful analysis of different signals. Such signals can originate from different sources and one of the most promising is the BTS, i.e. base transceiver station, an…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Radoslaw Klimek , Leszek Kotulski

In urban transportation systems, mobility flows in the subway system reflect the spatial and temporal dynamics of working days. To investigate the variability of mobility flows, we analyse the spatial community through a series of snapshots…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Zhanwei Du , Bo Yang , Jiming Liu

Buses are known to be an unstable system, and as a result they struggle to stay on schedule and/or to maintain regular headways. In current practice, transit agencies add significant slack to the schedule and hold buses until their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Paul Anderson , Carlos F. Daganzo
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