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Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-20 Evan Kodra , Singdhansu Chatterjee , Stone Chen , Auroop R. Ganguly

Spatially extended population dynamics models that incorporate intrinsic noise serve as case studies for the role of fluctuations and correlations in biological systems. Including spatial structure and stochastic noise in predator-prey…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-09 Ulrich Dobramysl , Mauro Mobilia , Michel Pleimling , Uwe C. Täuber

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

A complex interplay between species governs the evolution of spatial patterns in ecology. An open problem in the biological sciences is characterising spatio-temporal data and understanding how changes at the local scale affect global…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-15 Robert A. McDonald , Rosanna Neuhausler , Martin Robinson , Laurel G. Larsen , Heather A. Harrington , Maria Bruna

Ecological systems show a variety of characteristic patterns of biodiversity in space and time. It is a challenge for theory to find models that can reproduce and explain the observed patterns. Since the advent of island biogeography these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-21 Michaela Hamm , Barbara Drossel

Earth system forecasting has traditionally relied on complex physical models that are computationally expensive and require significant domain expertise. In the past decade, the unprecedented increase in spatiotemporal Earth observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Zhihan Gao , Xingjian Shi , Boran Han , Hao Wang , Xiaoyong Jin , Danielle Maddix , Yi Zhu , Mu Li , Yuyang Wang

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) plays a crucial role in tackling climate change - as an abundant, non-fossil energy source, exploited primarily via photovoltaic (PV) energy production. With the growing contribution of SSI to total energy…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-20 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Jussi Leinonen , Angela Meyer

Climate-mediated changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of thermal stress can destabilize animal populations and promote extinction risk. Using quantile, spectral, and wavelet analyses of temperature projections from the latest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-22 Kate Duffy , Tarik C. Gouhier , Auroop R. Ganguly

Efficient on-device models have become attractive for near-sensor insight generation, of particular interest to the ecological conservation community. For this reason, deep learning researchers are proposing more approaches to develop lower…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Emmanuel Azuh Mensah , Joban Mand , Yueheng Ou , Min Jang , Kurtis Heimerl

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

Plant traits such as leaf carbon content and leaf mass are essential variables in the study of biodiversity and climate change. However, conventional field sampling cannot feasibly cover trait variation at ecologically meaningful spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Eya Cherif , Arthur Ouaknine , Luke A. Brown , Phuong D. Dao , Kyle R. Kovach , Bing Lu , Daniel Mederer , Hannes Feilhauer , Teja Kattenborn , David Rolnick

Tree-grass coexistence is a defining feature of savanna ecosystems, which play an important role in supporting biodiversity and human populations worldwide. While recent advances have clarified many of the underlying processes, how these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-21 Jelle van der Voort , Mara Baudena , Ehud Meron , Max Rietkerk , Arjen Doelman

Evolutionary and ecosystem dynamics are often treated as different processes --operating at separate timescales-- even if evidence reveals that rapid evolutionary changes can feed back into ecological interactions. A recent long-term field…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-04 Paula Villa Martín , Jorge Hidalgo , Rafael Rubio de Casas , Miguel A. Muñoz

Drought threatens food and water security around the world, and this threat is likely to become more severe under climate change. High resolution predictive information can help farmers, water managers, and others to manage the effects of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-29 John J. Nay , Emily Burchfield , Jonathan Gilligan

The increasing adoption of data-driven decision-making in public health has established epidemic forecasting as a critical area of research. Recent advances in multivariate forecasting models better capture complex temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Madhurima Panja , Danny D'Agostino , Huitao Li , Tanujit Chakraborty , Nan Liu

Precise crop yield prediction provides valuable information for agricultural planning and decision-making processes. However, timely predicting crop yields remains challenging as crop growth is sensitive to growing season weather variation…

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Wildlife monitoring is crucial for studying biodiversity loss and climate change. Camera trap images provide a non-intrusive method for analyzing animal populations and identifying ecological patterns over time. However, manual analysis is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Julian D. Santamaria , Claudia Isaza , Jhony H. Giraldo