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Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

Citizen science biodiversity data present great opportunities for ecology and conservation across vast spatial and temporal scales. However, the opportunistic nature of these data lacks the sampling structure required by modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Nahian Ahmed , Mark Roth , Tyler A. Hallman , W. Douglas Robinson , Rebecca A. Hutchinson

Conservation science depends on an accurate understanding of what's happening in a given ecosystem. How many species live there? What is the makeup of the population? How is that changing over time? Species Distribution Modeling (SDM) seeks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Sara Beery , Elijah Cole , Joseph Parker , Pietro Perona , Kevin Winner

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, transportation, and disaster response. Existing deep learning approaches often struggle to balance global structural consistency…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Penghui Wen , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Na Zhao , Feng Zhang , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

A challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and management actions robust to novel futures, we need to accurately…

Many ecosystems can undergo important qualitative changes, including sudden transitions to alternative stable states, in response to perturbations or increments in conditions. Such 'tipping points' are often preceded by declines in aspects…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-04 Neel P. Le Penru , Thomas M. Bury , Sarab S. Sethi , Robert M. Ewers , Lorenzo Picinali

Ecosystems, which are intricate amalgams of biological communities and their surrounding environments, continually evolve under the influence of their myriad interactions. The world is currently facing intensifying environmental…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Ikumi Kobayashi

Earth observation data have shown promise in predicting species richness of vascular plants ($\alpha$-diversity), but extending this approach to large spatial scales is challenging because geographically distant regions may exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Yiqing Guo , Karel Mokany , Shaun R. Levick , Jinyan Yang , Peyman Moghadam

Habitats integrate the abiotic conditions, vegetation composition and structure that support biodiversity and sustain nature's contributions to people. Most habitats face mounting pressures from human activities, which requires accurate,…

The coupling between evolutionary and ecological changes (eco-evolutionary dynamics) has been shown to be relevant among diverse species, and is also of interest outside of ecology, i.e. in cancer evolution. These dynamics play an important…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Manh Hong Duong , Fabian Spill , Blaine van Rensburg

With climate change intensifying fire weather conditions globally, accurate seasonal wildfire forecasting has become critical for disaster preparedness and ecosystem management. We introduce FireCastNet, a novel deep learning architecture…

Accelerating global biodiversity loss has highlighted the role of complex relationships and shared patterns among species in determining their responses to environmental changes. The structure of an ecological community, represented by…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Braden Scherting , Otso Ovaskainen , David B. Dunson

Accurate weather forecasting is critical for science and society. Yet, existing methods have not managed to simultaneously have the properties of high accuracy, low uncertainty, and high computational efficiency. On one hand, to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jimeng Shi , Bowen Jin , Jiawei Han , Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan , Giri Narasimhan

Due to climate-induced changes, many habitats are experiencing range shifts away from their traditional geographic locations (Piguet, 2011). We propose a solution to accurately model whether bird species are present in a specific habitat…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Emir Durakovic , Min-Hong Shih

Radar-based precipitation nowcasting, the task of forecasting short-term precipitation fields from previous radar images, is a critical problem for flood risk management and decision-making. While deep learning has substantially advanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Bernardo Perrone Ribeiro , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Biodiversity research requires complete and detailed information to study ecosystem dynamics at different scales. Employing data-driven methods like Machine Learning is getting traction in ecology and more specific biodiversity, offering…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-27 Stylianos Stasinos , Martino Mensio , Elena Lazovik , Athanasios Trantas

Africa is experiencing extensive biodiversity loss due to rapid changes in the environment, where natural resources constitute the main instrument for socioeconomic development and a mainstay source of livelihoods for an increasing…

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use. Here, we introduce…

Global medium-range weather forecasting is critical to decision-making across many social and economic domains. Traditional numerical weather prediction uses increased compute resources to improve forecast accuracy, but cannot directly use…

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang