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Chaotic dynamics, commonly seen in weather systems and fluid turbulence, are characterized by their sensitivity to initial conditions, which makes accurate prediction challenging. Recent approaches have focused on developing data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Sunbochen Tang , Themistoklis Sapsis , Navid Azizan

Chaotic systems are notoriously challenging to predict because of their sensitivity to perturbations and errors due to time stepping. Despite this unpredictable behavior, for many dissipative systems the statistics of the long term…

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Data-driven reduced order modeling of chaotic dynamics can result in systems that either dissipate or diverge catastrophically. Leveraging non-linear dimensionality reduction of autoencoders and the freedom of non-linear operator inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Andrey A. Popov , Renato Zanetti

This is the last part of four series papers, aiming at stabilization for signal-input-signaloutput (SISO) linear finite-dimensional systems corrupted by general input disturbances. A new observer, referred to as Extended Dynamics Observer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-13 Hongyinping Feng , Bao-Zhu Guo

Generating long-term trajectories of dissipative chaotic systems autoregressively is a highly challenging task. The inherent positive Lyapunov exponents amplify prediction errors over time. Many chaotic systems possess a crucial property -…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-27 Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Hai Wang , Xiao Xue , Boli Chen , Yukun Hu

The operator learning has received significant attention in recent years, with the aim of learning a mapping between function spaces. Prior works have proposed deep neural networks (DNNs) for learning such a mapping, enabling the learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Yusuke Tanaka , Takaharu Yaguchi , Tomoharu Iwata , Naonori Ueda

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially…

Learning long-term behaviors in chaotic dynamical systems, such as turbulent flows and climate modelling, is challenging due to their inherent instability and unpredictability. These systems exhibit positive Lyapunov exponents, which…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-02 Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiao Xue , Sibo Cheng , Daniel Giles , Xiaohang Tang , Yukun Hu

This work primarily focuses on an operator inference methodology aimed at constructing low-dimensional dynamical models based on a priori hypotheses about their structure, often informed by established physics or expert insights. Stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Learning dynamics from dissipative chaotic systems is notoriously difficult due to their inherent instability, as formalized by their positive Lyapunov exponents, which exponentially amplify errors in the learned dynamics. However, many of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yair Schiff , Zhong Yi Wan , Jeffrey B. Parker , Stephan Hoyer , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

This paper solves a new class of optimization problems under uncertainty, called Probable Event Constrained Optimization (PECO), which optimizes an objective function of decision variables and subjects to a set of Probable Event Constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Qifeng Li

Chaotic systems make long-horizon forecasts difficult because small perturbations in initial conditions cause trajectories to diverge at an exponential rate. In this setting, neural operators trained to minimize squared error losses, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Ruoxi Jiang , Peter Y. Lu , Elena Orlova , Rebecca Willett

The data-driven learning of solutions of partial differential equations can be based on a divide-and-conquer strategy. First, the high dimensional data is compressed to a latent space with an autoencoder; and, second, the temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Elise Özalp , Luca Magri

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

In data-driven modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena careful consideration often needs to be made in capturing the dynamics of the high wavenumbers. This problem becomes especially challenging when the system of interest exhibits shocks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Alec J. Linot , Joshua W. Burby , Qi Tang , Prasanna Balaprakash , Michael D. Graham , Romit Maulik

Neural surrogate solvers can estimate solutions to partial differential equations in physical problems more efficiently than standard numerical methods, but require extensive high-resolution training data. In this paper, we break this…

Chaos arises in many complex dynamical systems, from weather to power grids, but is difficult to accurately model using data-driven emulators, including neural operator architectures. For chaotic systems, the inherent sensitivity to initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Gabriel Melo , Leonardo Santiago , Peter Y. Lu

The identification of the governing equations of chaotic dynamical systems from data has recently emerged as a hot topic. While the seminal work by Brunton et al. reported proof-of-concepts for idealized observation setting for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet
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