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Using cumulative residual processes, we propose joint goodness-of-fit tests for conditional means and variances functions in the context of nonlinear time series with martingale difference innovations. The main challenge comes from the fact…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Kilani Ghoudi , Naâmane Laïb , Mohamed Chaouch

If a random variable is not exponentially integrable, it is known that no concentration inequality holds for an infinite sequence of independent copies. Under mild conditions, we establish concentration inequalities for finite sequences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Franck Barthe , Patrick Cattiaux , Cyril Roberto

A marginal problem asks whether a given family of marginal distributions for some set of random variables arises from some joint distribution of these variables. Here we point out that the existence of such a joint distribution imposes…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-25 Tobias Fritz , Rafael Chaves

We extend some sharp inequalities for martingale-differences to general multiplicative systems of random variables. The key ingredient in the proofs is a technique reducing the general case to the case of Rademacher random variables without…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Grigori A. Karagulyan

Two Bayesian models with different sampling densities are said to be marginally equivalent if the joint distribution of observables and the parameter of interest is the same for both models. We discuss marginal equivalence in the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Hidehiko Kamiya

A theory of martingales for censoring is developed. The Doob-Meyer martingale is shown to be inadequate in general, and a repaired martingale is proposed with a non-predictable centering term. Associated martingale transforms, variation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Benjamin R. Baer , Robert L. Strawderman

Parametric distributions are an important part of statistics. There is now a voluminous literature on different fascinating formulations of flexible distributions. We present a selective and brief overview of a small subset of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Sharon X. Lee , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In this paper, we obtain stability results for martingale representations in a very general framework. More specifically, we consider a sequence of martingales each adapted to its own filtration, and a sequence of random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Antonis Papapantoleon , Dylan Possamai , Alexandros Saplaouras

Probabilistic forecasting models for joint distributions of targets in irregular time series with missing values are a heavily under-researched area in machine learning, with, to the best of our knowledge, only two Models have been…

We investigate the invariance principle for set-indexed partial sums of a stationary field $(X\_{k})\_{k\in\mathbb{Z}^{d}}$ of martingale-difference or independent random variables under standard-normalization or self-normalization…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Lahcen Ouchti

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

In this article, we introduce a conditional marginal model for longitudinal data, in which the residuals form a martingale difference sequence. This model allows us to consider a rich class of estimating equations, which contains several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-15 R. M. Balan , L. Dumitrescu , I. Schiopu-Kratina

This paper gives new concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of a wide class of matrix martingales in continuous time. These results extend previously established Freedman and Bernstein inequalities for series of random matrices to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-28 Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Jean-François Muzy

We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

For self-normalized martingales with conditionally symmetric differences, de la Pe\~{n}a [A general class of exponential inequalities for martingales and ratios. Ann. Probab. 27, No.1, 537-564] established the Gaussian type exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Shen Wang

We derive explicit Bernstein-type and Bennett-type concentration inequalities for matrix-valued martingale processes with unbounded observations from the Hermitian space $\mathbb{H}(d)$. Specifically, we assume that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Alexey Kroshnin , Alexandra Suvorikova

Self-normalized processes are basic to many probabilistic and statistical studies. They arise naturally in the the study of stochastic integrals, martingale inequalities and limit theorems, likelihood-based methods in hypothesis testing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Victor H. de la Peña , Michael J. Klass , Tze Leung Lai

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

We consider a class of non-homogeneous Markov chains, that contains many natural examples. Next, using martingale methods, we establish some deviation and moment inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions of such a chain, under moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

Normal variance-mean mixtures encompass a large family of useful distributions such as the generalized hyperbolic distribution, which itself includes the Student t, Laplace, hyperbolic, normal inverse Gaussian, and variance gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Yaming Yu