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We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a black-box machine-learning predictor is available. The goal is to perform statistical inference on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-09 Yang Sui , Jin Zhou , Hua Zhou , Xiaowu Dai

Sequential prediction is challenging in regimes of delayed disambiguation, where early observations are ambiguous and multiple latent explanations remain plausible until sufficient evidence accumulates. Standard approaches based on marginal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Omer Haq

This work presents a new sufficient condition for synthesizing nonlinear controllers that yield bounded closed-loop tracking error transients despite the presence of unmatched uncertainties that are concurrently being learned online. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-23 Samuel G. Gessow , Brett T. Lopez

We establish a linear programming formulation for the solution of joint chance constrained optimal control problems over finite time horizons. The joint chance constraint may represent an invariance, reachability or reach-avoid…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Niklas Schmid , Marta Fochesato , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

Intelligent agents must be able to articulate its own uncertainty. In this work, we show that pre-trained sequence models are naturally capable of probabilistic reasoning over exchangeable data points -- forming informed beliefs and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-02 Naimeng Ye , Hongseok Namkoong

The Logical Execution Time (LET) model has deterministic properties which dramatically reduce the complexity of analyzing temporal requirements of multi-rate cause-effect chains. The configuration (length and position) of task's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Luiz Maia , Gerhard Fohler

We analyze an optimal stopping problem with a series of inequality-type and equality-type expectation constraints in a general non-Markovian framework. We show that the optimal stopping problem with expectation constraints (OSEC) in an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Erhan Bayraktar , Song Yao

We study how to utilize (possibly machine-learned) predictions in a model for computing under uncertainty in which an algorithm can query unknown data. The goal is to minimize the number of queries needed to solve the problem. We consider…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Thomas Erlebach , Murilo S. de Lima , Nicole Megow , Jens Schlöter

Safe control of constrained linear systems under both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties is considered. The aleatory uncertainty characterizes random noises and is modeled by a probability distribution function (PDF) and the epistemic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Hamidreza Modares

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behavior, but common practices to use LLM-generated data are inefficient. Treating an LLM's output ("model choice") as a single data point underutilizes the information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hongshen Sun , Juanjuan Zhang

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

We consider a multiple hypothesis testing setting where the hypotheses are ordered and one is only permitted to reject an initial contiguous block, H_1,\dots,H_k, of hypotheses. A rejection rule in this setting amounts to a procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-25 Max Grazier G'Sell , Stefan Wager , Alexandra Chouldechova , Robert Tibshirani

Uncertainty in decision-making is crucial in the machine learning model used for a safety-critical system that operates in the real world. Therefore, it is important to handle uncertainty in a graceful manner for the safe operation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Akash Fogla , Kanish Kumar , Sunnay Saurav , Bishnu ramanujan

This article focuses on making discrete-time Adaptive Iterative Learning Control (ILC) more effective using multiple estimation models. Existing strategies use the tracking error to adjust the parametric estimates. Our strategy uses the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Ram Padmanabhan , Rajini Makam , Koshy George

Selective laser melting is a promising additive manufacturing technology enabling the fabrication of highly customizable products. A major challenge in selective laser melting is ensuring the quality of produced parts, which is influenced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-11 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , Alisa Rupenyan , John Lygeros

In this technical note we analyse the performance improvement and optimality properties of the Learning Model Predictive Control (LMPC) strategy for linear deterministic systems. The LMPC framework is a policy iteration scheme where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Ugo Rosolia , Yingzhao Lian , Emilio T. Maddalena , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate , Colin N. Jones

As models in various fields are becoming more complex, associated computational demands have been increasing significantly. Reliability analysis for these systems when failure probabilities are small is significantly challenging, requiring…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Zeyu Wang , Abdollah Shafieezadeh

We propose a new risk-constrained formulation of the classical Linear Quadratic (LQ) stochastic control problem for general partially-observed systems. Our framework is motivated by the fact that the risk-neutral LQ controllers, although…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-15 Anastasios Tsiamis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Alejandro Ribeiro , George J. Pappas

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory because the chosen model is usually the result of a data-adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Stijn Vansteelandt , Oliver Dukes

Model predictive control (MPC) algorithms can be sensitive to model mismatch when used in challenging nonlinear control tasks. In particular, the performance of MPC for vehicle control at the limits of handling suffers when the underlying…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Thomas Lew , Marcus Greiff , Franck Djeumou , Makoto Suminaka , Michael Thompson , John Subosits
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