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We provide a method to solve optimization problem when objective function is a complex stochastic simulator of an urban transportation system. To reach this goal, a Bayesian optimization framework is introduced. We show how the choice of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-15 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Accurate prediction of future agent trajectories is a critical challenge for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous navigation, particularly in complex urban environments characterized by multiple plausible future scenarios. In this paper,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Haichuan Li , Tomi Westerlund

Nowadays, huge efforts are made to modernize the air traffic management systems to cope with uncertainty, complexity and sub-optimality. An answer is to enhance the information sharing between the stakeholders. This paper introduces a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Areski Hadjaz , Gaétan Marceau , Pierre Savéant , Marc Schoenauer

Addressing safe and efficient interaction between connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) and human-driven vehicles in a mixed-traffic environment has attracted considerable attention. In this paper, we develop a framework for stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Viet-Anh Le , Behdad Chalaki , Filippos N. Tzortzoglou , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

We provide a unifying approximate dynamic programming framework that applies to a broad variety of problems involving sequential estimation. We consider first the construction of surrogate cost functions for the purposes of optimization,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Dimitri Bertsekas

Bayesian optimization is a sequential decision making framework for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. Computing a full lookahead policy amounts to solving a highly intractable stochastic dynamic program. Myopic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Shali Jiang , Daniel R. Jiang , Maximilian Balandat , Brian Karrer , Jacob R. Gardner , Roman Garnett

Bayesian optimization is proposed for automatic learning of optimal controller parameters from experimental data. A probabilistic description (a Gaussian process) is used to model the unknown function from controller parameters to a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Matthias Neumann-Brosig , Alonso Marco , Dieter Schwarzmann , Sebastian Trimpe

We propose a Gaussian variational inference framework for the motion planning problem. In this framework, motion planning is formulated as an optimization over the distribution of the trajectories to approximate the desired trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Hongzhe Yu , Yongxin Chen

The fundamental lemma by Jan C. Willems and co-authors enables the representation of all input-output trajectories of a linear time-invariant system by measured input-output data. This result has proven to be pivotal for data-driven…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-06 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

Modeling the interaction between traffic agents is a key issue in designing safe and non-conservative maneuvers in autonomous driving. This problem can be challenging when multi-modality and behavioral uncertainties are engaged. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Zhenmin Huang , Tong Li , Shaojie Shen , Jun Ma

This work presents a novel and effective method for fitting multidimensional ellipsoids to scattered data in the contamination of noise and outliers. We approach the problem as a Bayesian parameter estimate process and maximize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zhao Mingyang , Jia Xiaohong , Ma Lei , Shi Yuke , Jiang Jingen , Li Qizhai , Yan Dong-Ming , Huang Tiejun

Data-driven predictive control based on the fundamental lemma by Willems et al. is frequently considered for deterministic LTI systems subject to measurement noise. However, little has been done on data-driven stochastic control. In this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-04 Guanru Pan , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser

Most state-of-the-art works in trajectory forecasting for automotive target predicting the pose and orientation of the agents in the scene. This represents a particularly useful problem, for instance in autonomous driving, but it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Luca Paparusso , Stefano Melzi , Francesco Braghin

Stochastic optimal control with unknown randomness distributions has been studied for a long time, encompassing robust control, distributionally robust control, and adaptive control. We propose a new episodic Bayesian approach that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Alexander Shapiro , Enlu Zhou , Yifan Lin , Yuhao Wang

Car following (CF) models are fundamental to describing traffic dynamics. However, the CF behavior of human drivers is highly stochastic and nonlinear. As a result, identifying the best CF model has been challenging and controversial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Jiwan Jiang , Yang Zhou , Xin Wang , Soyoung Ahn

The Bayesian approach to data analysis provides a powerful way to handle uncertainty in all observations, model parameters, and model structure using probability theory. Probabilistic programming languages make it easier to specify and fit…

To control how a robot moves, motion planning algorithms must compute paths in high-dimensional state spaces while accounting for physical constraints related to motors and joints, generating smooth and stable motions, avoiding obstacles,…

One's ability to learn a generative model of the world without supervision depends on the extent to which one can construct abstract knowledge representations that generalize across experiences. To this end, capturing an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zahra Sheikhbahaee , Dongshu Luo , Blake VanBerlo , S. Alex Yun , Adam Safron , Jesse Hoey

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

Many real-world problems require to optimise trajectories under constraints. Classical approaches are based on optimal control methods but require an exact knowledge of the underlying dynamics, which could be challenging or even out of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-08 Florent Dewez , Benjamin Guedj , Arthur Talpaert , Vincent Vandewalle