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Spatial models for areal data are often constructed such that all pairs of adjacent regions are assumed to have near-identical spatial autocorrelation. In practice, data can exhibit dependence structures more complicated than can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-04 Michael F. Christensen , Peter D. Hoff

Lattice Hamiltonian systems underpin models across condensed matter, nonlinear optics, and biophysics, yet learning their dynamics from data is obstructed by two unknowns: the interaction topology and whether node dynamics are homogeneous.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Ru Geng , Panayotis Kevrekidis , Yixian Gao , Hong-Kun Zhang , Jian Zu

Multivariate time series analysis is a vital but challenging task, with multidisciplinary applicability, tackling the characterization of multiple interconnected variables over time and their dependencies. Traditional methodologies often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Graphs are a powerful representation tool in machine learning applications, with link prediction being a key task in graph learning. Temporal link prediction in dynamic networks is of particular interest due to its potential for solving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Sanaz Hasanzadeh Fard , Mohammad Ghassemi

Graph embedding provides a feasible methodology to conduct pattern classification for graph-structured data by mapping each data into the vectorial space. Various pioneering works are essentially coding method that concentrates on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Xue Liu , Dan Sun , Xiaobo Cao , Hao Ye , Wei Wei

This work studies the problem of modeling visual processes by leveraging deep generative architectures for learning linear, Gaussian representations from observed sequences. We propose a joint learning framework, combining a vector…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Alexander Sagel , Hao Shen

Learning on evolving(dynamic) graphs has caught the attention of researchers as static methods exhibit limited performance in this setting. The existing methods for dynamic graphs learn spatial features by local neighborhood aggregation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Anson Bastos , Abhishek Nadgeri , Kuldeep Singh , Toyotaro Suzumura , Manish Singh

We propose Variational Heteroscedastic Volatility Model (VHVM) -- an end-to-end neural network architecture capable of modelling heteroscedastic behaviour in multivariate financial time series. VHVM leverages recent advances in several…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-13 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Representation learning over graph structured data has been mostly studied in static graph settings while efforts for modeling dynamic graphs are still scant. In this paper, we develop a novel hierarchical variational model that introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Arman Hasanzadeh , Nick Duffield , Krishna R Narayanan , Mingyuan Zhou , Xiaoning Qian

Graphical causal models are an important tool for knowledge discovery because they can represent both the causal relations between variables and the multivariate probability distributions over the data. Once learned, causal graphs can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Andrew J Sedgewick , Joseph D. Ramsey , Peter Spirtes , Clark Glymour , Panayiotis V. Benos

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Being cognizant of the abundance of multi-body interactions in various complex systems, here we investigate a possible way to incorporate multi-body interactions in dynamical networks. Adopting hypergraph as the underlying architecture aids…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-24 Anirban Banerjee , Samiron Parui

Due to the complex and changing interactions in dynamic scenarios, motion forecasting is a challenging problem in autonomous driving. Most existing works exploit static road graphs to characterize scenarios and are limited in modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Xing Gao , Xiaogang Jia , Yikang Li , Hongkai Xiong

Today, complex networks have attracted increasing attention from various fields of science and engineering. It has been demonstrated that many complex networks display various synchronization phenomena. In this paper, we introduce a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Jinhu Lu , Guanrong Chen

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Unmeasured causal forces influence diverse experimental time series, such as the transcription factors that regulate genes, or the descending neurons that steer motor circuits. Combining the theory of skew-product dynamical systems with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 William Gilpin

We consider structure discovery of undirected graphical models from observational data. Inferring likely structures from few examples is a complex task often requiring the formulation of priors and sophisticated inference procedures.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-04 Eugene Belilovsky , Kyle Kastner , Gaël Varoquaux , Matthew Blaschko

Novel method of reconstructing dynamical networks from empirically measured time series is proposed. By examining the variable--derivative correlation of network node pairs, we derive a simple equation that directly yields the adjacency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-09 Zoran Levnajić

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Real-time and precise traffic flow prediction is vital for the efficiency of intelligent transportation systems. Traditional methods often employ graph neural networks (GNNs) with predefined graphs to describe spatial correlations among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Ben-Ao Dai , Bao-Lin Ye , Lingxi Li