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Financial models have increasingly become popular in recent times, and the focus of researchers has been to find the perfect model which fits all circumstances; however, this has not been thoroughly achieved, and as a result, many financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Sydney Anuyah Mary Akinyemi , Chika Yinka-Banjo

A novel methodology for short-term energy forecasting using an Extreme Learning Machine ($\mathtt{ELM}$) is proposed. Using six years of hourly data collected in Corsica (France) from multiple energy sources (solar, wind, hydro, thermal,…

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

This study evaluates the effectiveness of a Mixture of Experts (MoE) model for stock price prediction by comparing it to a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and a linear regression model. The MoE framework combines an RNN for volatile stocks…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Diego Vallarino

Electricity price signals in modern power systems exhibit complex dependence structures that render forecasting inherently challenging. Our analysis of real-world pricing signals from the California Independent System Operator (CAISO)…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-28 Keyi Wang , Jiaxiang Ji , Mahan Mansouri , Ahmed Aziz Ezzat

Accurate prediction of non-dispatchable renewable energy sources is essential for grid stability and price prediction. Regional power supply forecasts are usually indirect through a bottom-up approach of plant-level forecasts, incorporate…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-24 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The increasing importance of renewable energy, especially solar and wind power, has led to new forces in the formation of electricity prices. Hence, this paper introduces an econometric model for the hourly time series of electricity prices…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-02 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert , Sven Husmann

Electricity market operators worldwide use mixed-integer linear programming to solve the allocation problem in wholesale electricity markets. Prices are typically determined based on the duals of relaxed versions of this optimization…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Mete Şeref Ahunbay , Martin Bichler , Teodora Dobos , Johannes Knörr

The increasing focus on predicting renewable energy production aligns with advancements in deep learning (DL). The inherent variability of renewable sources and the complexity of prediction methods require robust approaches, such as DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Haibo Wang , Jun Huang , Lutfu Sua , Bahram Alidaee

Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

Data analytics and machine learning techniques are being rapidly adopted into the power system, including power system control as well as electricity market design. In this paper, from an adversarial machine learning point of view, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

The helium I line intensity ratio (LIR) method is used to measure the electron density ($n_e$) and temperature ($T_e$) of fusion-relevant plasmas. Although the collisional-radiative model (CRM) has been used to predict $n_e$ and $T_e$,…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-06-26 Shin Kajita

Prosumer operators are dealing with extensive challenges to participate in short-term electricity markets while taking uncertainties into account. Challenges such as variation in demand, solar energy, wind power, and electricity prices as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

Power device reliability is a major concern during operation under extreme environments, as doing so reduces the operational lifetime of any power system or sensing infrastructure. Due to a potential for system failure, devices must be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Carlos Olivares , Raziur Rahman , Christopher Stankus , Jade Hampton , Andrew Zedwick , Moinuddin Ahmed

The most commonly used form of regularization typically involves defining the penalty function as a L1 or L2 norm. However, numerous alternative approaches remain untested in practical applications. In this study, we apply ten different…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-20 Bartosz Uniejewski

Machine learning applied to generate data-driven models are lacking of transparency leading the process engineer to lose confidence in relying on the model predictions to optimize his industrial process. Bringing processes in the industry…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Cedric Schockaert , Vadim Macher , Alexander Schmitz

This work integrates Bayesian regime detection with conditional neural processes for 24-hour electricity price prediction in the German market. Our methodology integrates regime detection using a disentangled sticky hierarchical Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Runyao Yu , Derek W. Bunn , Julia Lin , Jochen Stiasny , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Yuchen Tao , Lianlian Qi , Yujie Chen , Wentao Wang , Jochen L. Cremer

Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021--2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 My Thi Diem Phan , Trung Tuyen Truong , Hoai Phuong Ha , Dat Thanh Nguyen
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