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Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Bayesian modelling for cost-effectiveness data has received much attention in both the health economics and the statistical literature in recent years. Cost-effectiveness data are characterised by a relatively complex structure of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Gianluca Baio

We study the statistical performance of a continual learning problem with two linear regression tasks in a well-specified random design setting. We consider a structural regularization algorithm that incorporates a generalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Haoran Li , Jingfeng Wu , Vladimir Braverman

Consider the problem of learning, from non-experimental data, the causal (Markov equivalence) structure of the true, unknown causal Bayesian network (CBN) on a given, fixed set of (categorical) variables. This learning problem is known to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-26 Hanti Lin , Jiji Zhang

Control algorithms such as model predictive control (MPC) and state estimators rely on a number of different parameters. The performance of the closed loop usually depends on the correct setting of these parameters. Tuning is often done…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-15 David Stenger , Muzaffer Ay , Dirk Abel

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Corrosion poses a significant challenge to the performance of aluminum alloys, particularly in marine environments. This study investigates the application of machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict and optimize corrosion resistance,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Farnaz Kaboudvand , Maham Khalid , Nydia Assaf , Vardaan Sahgal , Jon P. Ruffley , Brian J. McDermott

We propose a method, a model, and a form of presenting model results for condition monitoring of a small set of wind turbines with rare failures. The main new ingredient of the method is to sample failure thresholds according to the profit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-14 Viktor Begun , Ulrich Schlickewei

For a given causal question, it is important to efficiently decide which causal inference method to use for a given dataset. This is challenging because causal methods typically rely on complex and difficult-to-verify assumptions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Shantanu Gupta , Cheng Zhang , Agrin Hilmkil

Causal structure discovery from observational data is fundamental to the causal understanding of autonomous systems such as medical decision support systems, advertising campaigns and self-driving cars. This is essential to solve well-known…

The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual reasoning, as causality reveals the underlying data distribution. However, the lack of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Yu Zhou , Xingyu Wu , Beicheng Huang , Jibin Wu , Liang Feng , Kay Chen Tan

The high simulation cost has been a bottleneck of practical analog/mixed-signal design automation. Many learning-based algorithms require thousands of simulated data points, which is impractical for expensive to simulate circuits. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Ahmet F. Budak , Keren Zhu , David Z. Pan

Asphalt pavements as the most prevalent transportation infrastructure, are prone to serious traffic safety problems due to functional or structural damage caused by stresses or strains imposed through repeated traffic loads and continuous…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-04 Lingyun You , Nanning Guo , Zhengwu Long , Fusong Wang , Chundi Si , Aboelkasim Diab

Solving systems of Boolean equations is a fundamental task in symbolic computation and algebraic cryptanalysis, with wide-ranging applications in cryptography, coding theory, and formal verification. Among existing approaches, the Boolean…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Minzhong Luo , Yudong Sun , Yin Long

One major drawback of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence is its lack of explainability. One approach to solve the problem is taking causality into account. Causal mechanisms can be described by structural causal models. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-07 Nico Reick , Felix Wiewel , Alexander Bartler , Bin Yang

Predictive modelling is vital to guide preventive efforts. Whilst large-scale prospective cohort studies and a diverse toolkit of available machine learning (ML) algorithms have facilitated such survival task efforts, choosing the…

Mendelian randomization (MR) is widely used to uncover causal relationships in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, most existing MR methods presuppose linear causality, risking bias when the true relationships are nonlinear,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Xinpei Wang , Tao Huang , Jinzhu Jia

This paper introduces a novel concept, fuzzy-logic-based model predictive control (FLMPC), along with a multi-robot control approach for exploring unknown environments and locating targets. Traditional model predictive control (MPC) methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Filip Surma , Anahita Jamshidnejad

Predictive maintenance (PdM) is a concept, which is implemented to effectively manage maintenance plans of the assets by predicting their failures with data driven techniques. In these scenarios, data is collected over a certain period of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Archit P. Kane , Ashutosh S. Kore , Advait N. Khandale , Sarish S. Nigade , Pranjali P. Joshi

Instruction tuning on a mixture of tasks has improved zero-shot capabilities in natural language processing (NLP). Nevertheless, existing methods often learn features that exhibit correlations between instruction-formatted samples and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Lu Chen , Wei Huang , Ruqing Zhang , Wei Chen , Jiafeng Guo , Xueqi Cheng