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Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

We study recursive regularized learning algorithms in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) with non-stationary online data streams. We introduce the concept of random Tikhonov regularization path and decompose the tracking error of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Xiwei Zhang , Yan Chen , Tao Li

We consider a kernelized bandit problem with a compact arm set ${X} \subset \mathbb{R}^d $ and a fixed but unknown reward function $f^*$ with a finite norm in some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We propose a class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Bingshan Hu , Zheng He , Danica J. Sutherland

In machine learning ensemble methods have demonstrated high accuracy for the variety of problems in different areas. Two notable ensemble methods widely used in practice are gradient boosting and random forests. In this paper we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-24 Alex Rogozhnikov , Tatiana Likhomanenko

Despite their remarkable effectiveness and broad application, the drivers of success underlying ensembles of trees are still not fully understood. In this paper, we highlight how interpreting tree ensembles as adaptive and self-regularizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Alicia Curth , Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) are key spaces for machine learning that are becoming popular also for linear system identification. In particular, the so-called stable RKHSs can be used to model absolutely summable impulse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Mauro Bisiacco , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Obtaining reliable, adaptive confidence sets for prediction functions (hypotheses) is a central challenge in sequential decision-making tasks, such as bandits and model-based reinforcement learning. These confidence sets typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Parnian Kassraie , Jonas Rothfuss , Andreas Krause

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

We propose a new point of view for regularizing deep neural networks by using the norm of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Even though this norm cannot be computed, it admits upper and lower approximations leading to various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Alberto Bietti , Grégoire Mialon , Dexiong Chen , Julien Mairal

Random feature approximation is arguably one of the most widely used techniques for kernel methods in large-scale learning algorithms. In this work, we analyze the generalization properties of random feature methods, extending previous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Mike Nguyen , Nicole Mücke

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

The empirical success of deep convolutional networks on tasks involving high-dimensional data such as images or audio suggests that they can efficiently approximate certain functions that are well-suited for such tasks. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-22 Alberto Bietti

Tree ensembles are flexible predictive models that can capture relevant variables and to some extent their interactions in a compact and interpretable manner. Most algorithms for obtaining tree ensembles are based on versions of boosting or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Gitesh Dawer , Yangzi Guo , Adrian Barbu

K-nearest neighbor (kNN) search has wide applications in many areas, including data mining, machine learning, statistics and many applied domains. Inspired by the success of ensemble methods and the flexibility of tree-based methodology, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Donghui Yan , Yingjie Wang , Jin Wang , Honggang Wang , Zhenpeng Li

How can we identify the training examples that contribute most to the prediction of a tree ensemble? In this paper, we introduce TREX, an explanation system that provides instance-attribution explanations for tree ensembles, such as random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Jonathan Brophy , Daniel Lowd

In this paper, an online learning algorithm is proposed as sequential stochastic approximation of a regularization path converging to the regression function in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs). We show that it is possible to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Pierre Tarrès , Yuan Yao

Estimators in statistics and machine learning must typically trade off between efficiency, having low variance for a fixed target, and distributional robustness, such as multiaccuracy, or having low bias over a range of possible targets. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 David Bruns-Smith , Zhongming Xie , Avi Feller

The use of cumulative incidence functions for characterizing the risk of one type of event in the presence of others has become increasingly popular over the past decade. The problems of modeling, estimation and inference have been treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-25 Youngjoo Cho , Annette M. Molinaro , Chen Hu , Robert L. Strawderman

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

Learning with Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) has been widely used in many scientific disciplines. Because a RKHS can be very flexible, it is common to impose a regularization term in the optimization to prevent overfitting.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Jingxiang Chen , Chong Zhang , Michael R. Kosorok , Yufeng Liu