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We study whether liquidity and volatility proxies of a core set of cryptoassets generate spillovers that forecast market-wide risk. Our empirical framework integrates three statistical layers: (A) interactions between core liquidity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Yimeng Qiu , Feihuang Fang

Stablecoins have emerged as a significant component of global financial infrastructure, with aggregate market capitalization surpassing USD250 billion in 2025. Their increasing integration into payment and settlement systems has…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Hongzhe Wen , R. S. M. Lau

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and influenced by both price trends and market sentiment, making effective portfolio management challenging. This paper proposes a dynamic cryptocurrency portfolio strategy that integrates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen

Since Bitcoin first appeared on the scene in 2009, cryptocurrencies have become a worldwide phenomenon as important decentralized financial assets. Their decentralized nature, however, leads to notable volatility against traditional fiat…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zeyd Boukhers , Azeddine Bouabdallah , Cong Yang , Jan Jürjens

This paper investigates the dynamics of risk transmission in cryptocurrency markets and proposes a novel framework for volatility forecasting. The framework uncovers two key empirical facts: the asymmetric amplification of volatility…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Sicheng Fu , Fangfang Zhu , Xiangdong Liu

Stablecoins are one of the most widely capitalized type of cryptocurrency. However, their risks vary significantly according to their design and are often poorly understood. We seek to provide a sound foundation for stablecoin theory, with…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-30 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Dominik Harz , Lewis Gudgeon , Jun-You Liu , Andreea Minca

An algorithmic stablecoin is a type of cryptocurrency managed by algorithms (i.e., smart contracts) to dynamically minimize the volatility of its price relative to a specific form of asset, e.g., US dollar. As algorithmic stablecoins have…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Wenqi Zhao , Hui Li , Yuming Yuan

Stablecoins - crypto tokens whose value is pegged to a real-world asset such as the US Dollar - are an important component of the DeFi ecosystem as they mitigate the impact of token price volatility. In crypto-backed stablecoins, the peg is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Bretislav Hajek , Daniel Reijsbergen , Anwitaman Datta , Jussi Keppo

Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) represents a pivotal challenge within the Ethereum ecosystem; it impacts the fairness, security, and efficiency of both Layer 1 (L1) and Layer 2 (L2) networks. MEV arises when miners or validators manipulate…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Zeinab Alipanahloo , Abdelhakim Senhaji Hafid , Kaiwen Zhang

The blockchain technology promises to transform finance, money and even governments. However, analyses of blockchain applicability and robustness typically focus on isolated systems whose actors contribute mainly by running the consensus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-09 Manlio De Domenico , Andrea Baronchelli

The multi-chain future is upon us. Modular architectures are coming to maturity across the ecosystem to scale bandwidth and throughput of cryptocurrency. One example of such is the Ethereum modular architecture, with its beacon chain, its…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Alexandre Obadia , Alejo Salles , Lakshman Sankar , Tarun Chitra , Vaibhav Chellani , Philip Daian

Stablecoins have become a foundational component of the digital asset ecosystem, with their market capitalization exceeding 230 billion USD as of May 2025. As fiat-referenced and programmable assets, stablecoins provide low-latency,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-07 Luyao Zhang

Global illicit fund flows exceed an estimated $3.1 trillion annually, with stablecoins emerging as a preferred laundering medium due to their liquidity. While decentralized protocols increasingly adopt zero-knowledge proofs to obfuscate…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Luciano Juvinski , Haochen Li , Alessio Brini

In the burgeoning realm of cryptocurrency, social media platforms like Twitter have become pivotal in influencing market trends and investor sentiments. In our study, we leverage GPT-4 and a fine-tuned transformer-based BERT model for a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Xiaorui Zuo , Yao-Tsung Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Understanding the variations in trading price (volatility), and its response to exogenous information, is a well-researched topic in finance. In this study, we focus on finding stable and accurate volatility predictors for a relatively new…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-07 M. Eren Akbiyik , Mert Erkul , Killian Kaempf , Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Stablecoins serve as the fundamental infrastructure for Decentralised Finance (DeFi), acting as the primary bridge between fiat currencies and the digital asset ecosystem. While peg stability is well-documented, the structural role…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Elliot Jones , Toshiko Matsui , William Knottenbelt

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

Measuring systemic risk or fragility of financial systems is a ubiquitous task of fundamental importance in analyzing market efficiency, portfolio allocation, and containment of financial contagions. Recent attempts have shown that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-21 Romeil Sandhu , Tryphon Georgiou , Allen Tannenbaum

We develop a model of stable assets, including non-custodial stablecoins backed by cryptocurrencies. Such stablecoins are popular methods for bootstrapping price stability within public blockchain settings. We derive fundamental results…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-31 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Andreea Minca

Ecosystems face intensifying threats from climate change, overexploitation, and other human pressures, emphasizing the urgent need to identify keystone species and vulnerable ones. While established network-based measures often rely on a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Emanuele Calò , Giordano De Marzo , Vito D. P. Servedio