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Predicting the start-ups that will eventually succeed is essentially important for the venture capital business and worldwide policy makers, especially at an early stage such that rewards can possibly be exponential. Though various…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Shiwei Lyu , Shuai Ling , Kaihao Guo , Haipeng Zhang , Kunpeng Zhang , Suting Hong , Qing Ke , Jinjie Gu

Identifying similar mutual funds with respect to the underlying portfolios has found many applications in financial services ranging from fund recommender systems, competitors analysis, portfolio analytics, marketing and sales, etc. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Vipul Satone , Dhruv Desai , Dhagash Mehta

This study explores the application of large language models (LLMs) in venture capital (VC) decision-making, focusing on predicting startup success based on founder characteristics. We utilize LLM prompting techniques, like…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Ekin Ozince , Yiğit Ihlamur

We consider in this paper the problem of predicting the ability of a startup to attract investments using freely, publicly available data. Information about startups on the web usually comes either as unstructured data from news, social…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Mariia Garkavenko , Eric Gaussier , Hamid Mirisaee , Cédric Lagnier , Agnès Guerraz

In the Venture Capital (VC) industry, predicting the success of startups is challenging due to limited financial data and the need for subjective revenue forecasts. Previous methods based on time series analysis often fall short as they…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Zitian Gao , Yihao Xiao

By drawing on large-scale online data we construct and analyze the time-varying worldwide network of professional relationships among start-ups. The nodes of this network represent companies, while the links model the flow of employees and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-18 Moreno Bonaventura , Valerio Ciotti , Pietro Panzarasa , Silvia Liverani , Lucas Lacasa , Vito Latora

In this paper we characterize the performance of venture capital-backed firms based on their ability to attract investment. The aim of the study is to identify relevant predictors of success built from the network structure of firms' and…

Complementary to finding good general word embeddings, an important question for representation learning is to find dynamic word embeddings, e.g., across time or domain. Current methods do not offer a way to use or predict information on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Stephanie Brandl , David Lassner , Anne Baillot , Shinichi Nakajima

Link prediction is central to unraveling social network evolution and node relationships, as well as understanding the characteristic mechanisms of complex networks. Currently, research on link prediction for complex dynamic networks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Gaoxin Zhang , Ruixing Ren , Junhui Zhao , Xiaoke Sun

Understanding non-linear relationships among financial instruments has various applications in investment processes ranging from risk management, portfolio construction and trading strategies. Here, we focus on interconnectedness among…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-18 Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Nayana Nair , Dhagash Mehta , Stefano Pasquali

We address the issue of the factors driving startup success in raising funds. Using the popular and public startup database Crunchbase, we explicitly take into account two extrinsic characteristics of startups: the competition that the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-10 Clement Gastaud , Theophile Carniel , Jean-Michel Dalle

We have proposed to develop a global hybrid deep learning framework to predict the daily prices in the stock market. With representation learning, we derived an embedding called Stock2Vec, which gives us insight for the relationship among…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Xing Wang , Yijun Wang , Bin Weng , Aleksandr Vinel

Investors are interested in predicting future success of startup companies, preferably using publicly available data which can be gathered using free online sources. Using public-only data has been shown to work, but there is still much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Emily Gavrilenko , Foaad Khosmood , Mahdi Rastad , Sadra Amiri Moghaddam

Link prediction, as a frontier task in complex network topology analysis, aims to infer the existence of latent links between node pairs based on observed nodes and structural information. We propose an ensemble link prediction model that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-09 Zi-Xuan Jin , Jun-Fan Yi , Ke-Ke Shang

Predicting startup success presents a formidable challenge due to the inherently volatile landscape of the entrepreneurial ecosystem. The advent of extensive databases like Crunchbase jointly with available open data enables the application…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Mark Potanin , Andrey Chertok , Konstantin Zorin , Cyril Shtabtsovsky

This paper presents a framework for predicting rare, high-impact outcomes by integrating large language models (LLMs) with a multi-model machine learning (ML) architecture. The approach combines the predictive strength of black-box models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Mihir Kumar , Aaron Ontoyin Yin , Zakari Salifu , Kelvin Amoaba , Afriyie Kwesi Samuel , Fuat Alican , Yigit Ihlamur

We analyze the sectoral dynamics of startup venture financing. Based on a dataset of 52000 start-ups and 110000 funding rounds in the United States from 2000 to 2017, and by applying both Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Tensor…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-06 Theophile Carniel , Clement Gastaud , Jean-Michel Dalle

Medical crowdfunding is a popular channel for people needing financial help paying medical bills to collect donations from large numbers of people. However, large heterogeneity exists in donations across cases, and fundraisers face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Tong Wang , Fujie Jin , Yu Hu , Yuan Cheng

Most prognostic methods require a decent amount of data for model training. In reality, however, the amount of historical data owned by a single organization might be small or not large enough to train a reliable prognostic model. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-11 Madi Arabi , Xiaolei Fang

With Company2Vec, the paper proposes a novel application in representation learning. The model analyzes business activities from unstructured company website data using Word2Vec and dimensionality reduction. Company2Vec maintains semantic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Christopher Gerling
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