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The influence of a local anisotropy of random orientation on a ferromagnetic phase transition is studied for two cases of anisotropy axis distribution. To this end a model of a random anisotropy magnet is analyzed by means of the field…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-11-23 M. Dudka , R. Folk , Yu. Holovatch

In this paper we start a systematic study of quantum field theory on random trees. Using precise probability estimates on their Galton-Watson branches and a multiscale analysis, we establish the general power counting of averaged Feynman…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-05-31 Nicolas Delporte , Vincent Rivasseau

The classical theory of rank-based inference is entirely based either on ordinary ranks, which do not allow for considering location (intercept) parameters, or on signed ranks, which require an assumption of symmetry. If the median, in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Hallin , Catherine Vermandele , Bas Werker

Random Forests have become a widely used tool in machine learning since their introduction in 2001, known for their strong performance in classification and regression tasks. One key feature of Random Forests is the Random Forest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Nico Föge , Lena Schmid , Marc Ditzhaus , Markus Pauly

An increasing array of biomedical and computer vision applications requires the predictive modeling of complex data, for example images and shapes. The main challenge when predicting such objects lies in the fact that they do not comply to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-17 Dimosthenis Tsagkrasoulis , Giovanni Montana

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

We establish the asymptotic theory in quantile autoregression when the model parameter is specified with respect to moderate deviations from the unit boundary of the form (1 + c / k) with a convergence sequence that diverges at a rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Christis Katsouris

Constructing valid prediction intervals rather than point estimates is a well-established approach for uncertainty quantification in the regression setting. Models equipped with this capacity output an interval of values in which the ground…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Thomas Pouplin , Alan Jeffares , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

The association between two random variables is often of primary interest in statistical research. In this paper semiparametric models for the association between random vectors X and Y are considered which leave the marginal distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-16 Angelika Franke , Gerhard Osius

Classical methods for quantile regression fail in cases where the quantile of interest is extreme and only few or no training data points exceed it. Asymptotic results from extreme value theory can be used to extrapolate beyond the range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Nicola Gnecco , Edossa Merga Terefe , Sebastian Engelke

Quantile Regression (QR) provides a way to approximate a single conditional quantile. To have a more informative description of the conditional distribution, QR can be merged with deep learning techniques to simultaneously estimate multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Axel Brando , Joan Gimeno , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Jordi Vitrià

Functional survival models are key tools for analyzing time-to-event data with complex predictors, such as functional or high-dimensional inputs. Despite their predictive strength, these models often lack interpretability, which limits…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-28 Giuseppe Loffredo , Elvira Romano , Fabrizio MAturo

Observations or measurements taken of a quantum system (a small number of fundamental particles) are inherently random. If the state of the system depends on unknown parameters, then the distribution of the outcome depends on these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Richard D. Gill

Current deep neural networks are highly overparameterized (up to billions of connection weights) and nonlinear. Yet they can fit data almost perfectly through variants of gradient descent algorithms and achieve unexpected levels of…

This paper is devoted to the asymptotic analysis of the amnesic elephant random walk (AERW) using a martingale approach. More precisely, our analysis relies on asymptotic results for multidimensional martingales with matrix normalization.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Lucile Laulin

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

Based on the adiabatic geometric phase concerning with density matrix[1] , we extend it to the sub-geometric phase in the non-adiabatic case. It is found that whatever the real part or imaginary part of the sub-geometric phase can play an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-20 Zheng-Chuan Wang

We study predictive probability inference in classification tasks using random forests under class imbalance. We focus on two simplified variants of Breiman's algorithm, namely subsampling Infinite Random Forests (IRFs) and under-sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Moria Mayala , Olivier Wintenberger , Charles Tillier , Clément Dombry

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

This paper studies the probability of error associated with the social machine learning framework, which involves an independent training phase followed by a cooperative decision-making phase over a graph. This framework addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Ping Hu , Virginia Bordignon , Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed