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We develop an efficient numerical method for the probabilistic quantification of the response statistics of nonlinear multi-degree-of-freedom structural systems under extreme forcing events, emphasizing accurate heavy-tail statistics. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a powerful framework for enhancing statistical estimates by combining limited gold-standard data with machine learning (ML) predictions. While prior work has demonstrated PPI's benefits for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Sida Li , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Estimation of the failure probability of offshore structures exposed to extreme ocean environments is critical to their safe design and operation. The conditional density of the environment (CDE) quantifies regions of the space of long term…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-16 Matthew Speers , Jonathan Angus Tawn , Philip Jonathan

The probabilistic design of offshore wind turbines aims to ensure structural safety in a cost-effective way. This involves conducting structural reliability assessments for different design options and considering different structural…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-06 Hong Wang , Odin Gramstad , Styfen Schär , Stefano Marelli , Erik Vanem

Optimization problems with the objective function in the form of weighted sum and linear equality constraints are considered. Given that the number of local cost functions can be large as well as the number of constraints, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Nataša Krejić , Nataša Krklec Jerinkić , Sanja Rapajić , Luka Rutešić

Past few years have witnessed a growing recognition of intelligent techniques for the construction of efficient and reliable intrusion detection systems. Due to increasing incidents of cyber attacks, building effective intrusion detection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Srinivas Mukkamala , Andrew H. Sung , Ajith Abraham , Vitorino Ramos

This paper proposes Mode-Aware Probabilistic Scheduling (MAPS), a novel adaptive control framework tailored for DC motor systems experiencing varying friction. MAPS uniquely integrates an Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) estimator with a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Taehun Kim , Guntae Kim , Cheolmin Jeong , Chang Mook Kang

Estimating rare events in complex systems is a key challenge in reliability analysis. The challenge grows in multimodal problems, where traditional methods often rely on a small set of design points and risk overlooking critical failure…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-04 Sara Helal , Victor Elvira

As inelastic design for wind is embraced by the engineering community, there is an increasing demand for computational tools that enable the investigation of the nonlinear behavior of wind-excited structures and subsequent development of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Srinivasan Arunachalam , Seymour M. J. Spence

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Significant wave height forecasting is a key problem in ocean data analytics. This task affects several maritime operations, such as managing the passage of vessels or estimating the energy production from waves. In this work, we focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo

A major challenge in next-generation industrial applications is to improve numerical analysis by quantifying uncertainties in predictions. In this work we present a formulation of a fully nonlinear and dispersive potential flow water wave…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-04-15 Daniele Bigoni , Allan P. Engsig-Karup , Claes Eskilsson

Solving chance-constrained optimal control problems for systems subject to non-stationary uncertainties is a significant challenge.Conventional robust model predictive control (MPC) often yields excessive conservatism by relying on static…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Mingcong Li

Passive transformation of waves via nonlinear systems is ubiquitous in settings ranging from acoustics to optics and electromagnetics. Passivity is of particular importance for responding rapidly to stimuli and nonlinearity enormously…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-07-02 Brianna MacNider , Haning Xiu , Kai Qian , Ian Frankel , Hyunsun Alicia Kim , Nicholas Boechler

Numerical simulation is powerful to study nonlinear solid mechanics problems. However, mesh-based or particle-based numerical methods suffer from the common shortcoming of being time-consuming, particularly for complex problems with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Ming-Jian Li , Yanping Lian , Zhanshan Cheng , Lehui Li , Zhidong Wang , Ruxin Gao , Daining Fang

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

The performance of different probabilistic amplitude shaping (PAS) techniques in the nonlinear regime is investigated, highlighting its dependence on the PAS block length and the interaction with carrier phase recovery (CPR). Different PAS…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Stella Civelli , Emanuele Parente , Enrico Forestieri , Marco Secondini

We consider the statistics of extreme ship motions in a nonlinear irregular wave field. While an accurate computation is possible by using a full Monte-Carlo method to cover all individual wave conditions, the computational cost may become…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-08-10 Xianliang Gong , Zhou Zhang , Kevin J. Maki , Yulin Pan

Predictions of the wave-induced response of floating structures that are moored in a harbour or coastal waters require an accurate description of the (nonlinear) evolution of waves over variable bottom topography, the interactions of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-19 Dirk Pieter Rijnsdorp , Hugh Wolgamot , Marcel Zijlema

Probabilistic amplitude shaping (PAS) is a coded modulation strategy in which constellation shaping and channel coding are combined. PAS has attracted considerable attention in both wireless and optical communications. Achievable…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yunus Can Gültekin , Alex Alvarado , Frans M. J. Willems
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