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In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of critical Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) associated to a general class of log-correlated Gaussian fields in any dimension, including the Gaussian free field (GFF) in dimension…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Mo Dick Wong

This is the second part of a series of papers where we consider questions related to the tail profile of the bulk/boundary quotients of Gaussian multiplicative chaos measures appearing in boundary Liouville conformal field theory. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yichao Huang , Youtao Liu

In this article we study the tail probability of the mass of Gaussian multiplicative chaos. With the novel use of a Tauberian argument and Goldie's implicit renewal theorem, we provide a unified approach to general log-correlated Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Mo Dick Wong

In this short note, we derive a precise tail expansion for Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) associated to the 2d GFF on the unit disk with zero average on the unit circle (and variants). More specifically, we show that to first order the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-04 Rémi Rhodes , Vincent Vargas

This is the first part of a series of papers devoted to studying the right tail profile of a bulk Gaussian multiplicative chaos measure with uniform singularity on the boundary. We investigate the bulk/boundary quotients of Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Yichao Huang

We propose a new definition of the Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) and an approach based on the relation of subcritical GMC to randomized shifts of a Gaussian measure. Using this relation we prove general uniqueness and convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Alexander Shamov

We study probability inequalities leading to tail estimates in a general semigroup $\mathscr{G}$ with a translation-invariant metric $d_{\mathscr{G}}$. (An important and central example of this in the functional analysis literature is that…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Apoorva Khare , Bala Rajaratnam

The aim of this review-style paper is to provide a concise, self-contained and unified presentation of the construction and main properties of Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) measures for log-correlated fields in 2D in the subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Juhan Aru

In this paper, we initiate the harmonic analysis of Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) on the circle, i.e. the study of its Fourier coefficients. In particular, we show that almost surely GMC is a so-called Rajchman measure which means…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Christophe Garban , Vincent Vargas

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable distribution received much interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-25 Mahdi Teimouri , Saeid Rezakhah , Adel Mohammdpour

This work derives extremal tail bounds for the Gaussian trace estimator applied to a real symmetric matrix. We define a partial ordering on the eigenvalues, so that when a matrix has greater spectrum under this ordering, its estimator will…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Eric Hallman

We develop two new estimators for a general class of stationary GARCH models with possibly heavy tailed asymmetrically distributed errors, covering processes with symmetric and asymmetric feedback like GARCH, Asymmetric GARCH, VGARCH and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jonathan B. Hill

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

We prove an exponential probability tail inequality for positive semidefinite quadratic forms in a subgaussian random vector. The bound is analogous to one that holds when the vector has independent Gaussian entries.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-14 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

This thesis evaluates most of the extreme mixture models and methods that have appended in the literature and implements them in the context of finance and insurance. The paper also reviews and studies extreme value theory, time series,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-09 Yujuan Qiu

We prove the H\"older continuity for weak solutions to parabolic p-Laplace equations on the Heisenberg group. We deduce this result while considering an optimal tail condition.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Debraj Kar

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

Gaussian multiplicative chaos (GMC) is a canonical random fractal measure obtained by exponentiating log-correlated Gaussian processes, first constructed in the seminal work of Kahane (1985). Since then it has served as an important…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Mriganka Basu Roy Chowdhury , Shirshendu Ganguly

For a centered $d$-dimensional Gaussian random vector $\xi =(\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_d)$ and a homogeneous function $h:R^d\to R$ we derive asymptotic expansions for the tail of the Gaussian chaos $h(\xi)$ given the function $h$ is sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Enkelejd Hashorva , Dmitry Korshunov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg

We consider removing lower order statistics from the classical Hill estimator in extreme value statistics, and compensating for it by rescaling the remaining terms. Trajectories of these trimmed statistics as a function of the extent of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant
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