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In this work, we propose FlowTime, a generative model for probabilistic forecasting of multivariate timeseries data. Given historical measurements and optional future covariates, we formulate forecasting as sampling from a learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Recent language models can generate interesting and grammatically correct text in story generation but often lack plot development and long-term coherence. This paper experiments with a latent vector planning approach based on a TD-VAE…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-15 David Wilmot , Frank Keller

Vector quantization (VQ) with autoregressive (AR) token modeling is a widely adopted and highly competitive paradigm for time-series generation. However, such models are fundamentally limited by exposure bias: during inference, errors can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Wei Li , Shibo Feng , Pengcheng Wu , Xingyu Gao , Min Wu , Peilin Zhao

Modelling the complexity and diversity of human activity scheduling behaviour is inherently challenging. We demonstrate a deep conditional-generative machine learning approach for the modelling of realistic activity schedules depending on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Fred Shone , Tim Hillel

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved remarkable success in universal forecasting by leveraging large-scale pretraining on diverse time series data. Complementing this progress, incorporating frequency-domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunyu Wu , Jiawei Huang , Weibin Feng , Boxin Li , Xiao Zhang , Erli Meng , Dan Li , Jian Lou , See-Kiong Ng

This paper introduces a generative AI approach to probabilistic forecasting of real-time electricity market signals, including locational marginal prices, interregional price spreads, and demand-supply imbalances. We present WIAE-GPF, a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-25 Xinyi Wang , Qing Zhao , Lang Tong

Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zinuo You , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Generative models have become increasingly powerful tools for robot motion generation, enabling flexible and multimodal trajectory generation across various tasks. Yet, most existing approaches remain limited in handling multiple types of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Zewen Yang , Xiaobing Dai , Dian Yu , Zhijun Li , Majid Khadiv , Sandra Hirche , Sami Haddadin

Deep generative models have recently yielded encouraging results in producing subjectively realistic samples of complex data. Far less attention has been paid to making these generative models interpretable. In many scenarios, ranging from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Samuel Ainsworth , Nicholas Foti , Adrian KC Lee , Emily Fox

Human demonstrations of trajectories are an important source of training data for many machine learning problems. However, the difficulty of collecting human demonstration data for complex tasks makes learning efficient representations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Travers Rhodes , Daniel D. Lee

Imagine generating a city's electricity demand pattern based on weather, the presence of an electric vehicle, and location, which could be used for capacity planning during a winter freeze. Such real-world time series are often enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Sai Shankar Narasimhan , Shubhankar Agarwal , Oguzhan Akcin , Sujay Sanghavi , Sandeep Chinchali

Visuomotor policies based on generative architectures such as diffusion and flow-based matching have shown strong performance but degrade under distribution shifts, demonstrating limited recovery capabilities without costly finetuning. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Yusuf Ali , Gryphon Patlin , Karthik Kothuri , Muhammad Zubair Irshad , Wuwei Liang , Zsolt Kira

Factor model is a fundamental investment tool in quantitative investment, which can be empowered by deep learning to become more flexible and efficient in practical complicated investing situations. However, it is still an open question to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Zikai Wei , Anyi Rao , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Temporal modeling in complex systems requires capturing dependencies across multiple time scales while managing inherent uncertainties. We propose HierCVAE, a novel architecture that integrates hierarchical attention mechanisms with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Yao Wu

Generating synthetic tabular data under severe class imbalance is essential for domains where rare but high-impact events drive decision-making. However, most generative models either overlook minority groups or fail to produce samples that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Milosh Devic , Jordan Gierschendorf , David Garson

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs), implemented through multivariate Gaussian distributions for a finite collection of data, are the most popular approach in small-area spatial statistical modelling. In this context they are used to encode…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Elizaveta Semenova , Yidan Xu , Adam Howes , Theo Rashid , Samir Bhatt , Swapnil Mishra , Seth Flaxman

Large climate-model ensembles are computationally expensive; yet many downstream analyses would benefit from additional, statistically consistent realizations of spatiotemporal climate variables. We study a generative modeling approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Jacquelyn Shelton , Przemyslaw Polewski , Alexander Robel , Matthew Hoffman , Stephen Price

Generative models for multivariate time series are essential for data augmentation, simulation, and privacy preservation, yet current state-of-the-art diffusion-based approaches are slow and limited to fixed-length windows. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Siyuan Li , Yifan Sun , Lei Cheng , Lewen Wang , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Jianlong Li , Jiang Bian , Shikai Fang

Generative models often incur the catastrophic forgetting problem when they are used to sequentially learning multiple tasks, i.e., lifelong generative learning. Although there are some endeavors to tackle this problem, they suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Libo Huang , Zhulin An , Xiang Zhi , Yongjun Xu
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