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Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are powerful generative models that learn the latent representations of input data as random variables. Recent studies show that VAE can flexibly learn the complex temporal dynamics of time series and achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Borui Cai , Shuiqiao Yang , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting meaningful features from complex data structures, driving significant advancements in fields such as neuroscience, biology, machine learning, and financial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 ZiXin Lin , Nur Fariha Syaqina Zulkepli

Self-supervised learning for time-series data holds potential similar to that recently unleashed in Natural Language Processing and Computer Vision. While most existing works in this area focus on contrastive learning, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Felix Pieper , Konstantin Ditschuneit , Martin Genzel , Alexandra Lindt , Johannes Otterbach

The forecasting combination puzzle is a well-known phenomenon in forecasting literature, stressing the challenge of outperforming the simple average when aggregating forecasts from diverse methods. This study proposes a Reinforcement…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-29 Marcelo C. Medeiros , Jeronymo M. Pinro

The attention mechanism has demonstrated remarkable potential in sequence modeling, exemplified by its successful application in natural language processing with models such as Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Bowen Zhao , Huanlai Xing , Zhiwen Xiao , Jincheng Peng , Li Feng , Xinhan Wang , Rong Qu , Hui Li

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu

Accurate electricity consumption forecasting is essential for demand management and smart grid operations. This paper introduces a unified deep learning framework that integrates cyclical temporal encoding with hybrid LSTM-CNN architectures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Salim Khazem , Houssam Kanso

Improvement of time series forecasting accuracy through combining multiple models is an important as well as a dynamic area of research. As a result, various forecasts combination methods have been developed in literature. However, most of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

This paper presents TCE: Temporally Coherent Embeddings for self-supervised video representation learning. The proposed method exploits inherent structure of unlabeled video data to explicitly enforce temporal coherency in the embedding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Joshua Knights , Ben Harwood , Daniel Ward , Anthony Vanderkop , Olivia Mackenzie-Ross , Peyman Moghadam

The exponential growth of multivariate time series data from sensor networks in domains like industrial monitoring and smart cities requires efficient and accurate forecasting models. Current deep learning methods often fail to adequately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Chengyi Yang , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

Meta-learning, or learning to learn, is a machine learning approach that utilizes prior learning experiences to expedite the learning process on unseen tasks. As a data-driven approach, meta-learning requires meta-features that represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Hadi S. Jomaa , Lars Schmidt-Thieme , Josif Grabocka

We introduce a temporal feature encoding architecture called Time Series Representation Model (TSRM) for multivariate time series forecasting and imputation. The architecture is structured around CNN-based representation layers, each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , Daniel Grillmeyer , Vanessa Borst , Samuel Kounev

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Feature engineering is required to obtain better results for time series forecasting, and decomposition is a crucial one. One decomposition approach often cannot be used for numerous forecasting tasks since the standard time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Liwang Zhou , Jing Gao

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

Time series forecasting is an important challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, scientific simulations and industrial process analysis. In this work, we introduce LMS-AutoTSF, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

Accurate workload forecasting is critical for efficient resource management in cloud computing systems, enabling effective scheduling and autoscaling. Despite recent advances with transformer-based forecasting models, challenges remain due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Shiyu Wang , Zhixuan Chu , Yinbo Sun , Yu Liu , Yuliang Guo , Yang Chen , Huiyang Jian , Lintao Ma , Xingyu Lu , Jun Zhou

Benefiting from high capacity for capturing complex temporal patterns, deep learning (DL) has significantly advanced time series forecasting (TSF). However, deep models tend to suffer from severe overfitting due to the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Yisong Fu , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Zhulin An , Qi Wang , Yongjun Xu , Fei Wang

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu