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The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

In dynamic settings each economic agent's choices can be revealing of her private information. This elicitation via the rationalization of observable behavior depends each agent's perception of which payoff-relevant contingencies other…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-17 Evan Piermont , Peio Zuazo-Garin

Consider an analyst who models a strategic situation using an incomplete information game. The true game may involve correlated, duplicated belief hierarchies, but the analyst lacks knowledge of the correlation structure and can only…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-13 Stephen Morris , Takashi Ui

The actions of intelligent agents, such as chatbots, recommender systems, and virtual assistants are typically not fully transparent to the user. Consequently, using such an agent involves the user exposing themselves to the risk that the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-23 The Anh Han , Cedric Perret , Simon T. Powers

Recent years have witnessed the emergence of a variety of post-hoc interpretations that aim to uncover how natural language processing (NLP) models make predictions. Despite the surge of new interpretation methods, it remains an open…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Fan Yin , Zhouxing Shi , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Kai-Wei Chang

Humans are capable of attributing latent mental contents such as beliefs or intentions to others. The social skill is critical in daily life for reasoning about the potential consequences of others' behaviors so as to plan ahead. It is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Ying Wen , Yaodong Yang , Rui Luo , Jun Wang , Wei Pan

This paper examines the integration of computational complexity into game theoretic models. The example focused on is the Prisoner's Dilemma, repeated for a finite length of time. We show that a minimal bound on the players' computational…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Yishay Mor , Jeffrey S. Rosenschein

We consider games of chance played by someone with external capital that cannot be applied to the game and determine how this affects risk-adjusted optimal betting. Specifically, we focus on Kelly optimization as a metric, optimizing the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-29 Stanislav Shalunov , Alexei Kitaev , Yakov Shalunov , Arseniy Akopyan

The partial monitoring (PM) framework provides a theoretical formulation of sequential learning problems with incomplete feedback. On each round, a learning agent plays an action while the environment simultaneously chooses an outcome. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

The ability to derive underlying principles from a handful of observations and then generalize to novel situations -- known as inductive reasoning -- is central to human intelligence. Prior work suggests that language models (LMs) often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Linlu Qiu , Liwei Jiang , Ximing Lu , Melanie Sclar , Valentina Pyatkin , Chandra Bhagavatula , Bailin Wang , Yoon Kim , Yejin Choi , Nouha Dziri , Xiang Ren

This article presents a formalism inspired by Dennett's notion of the intentional stance. Whereas Dennett's treatment of these concepts is informal, we aim to provide a more formal analogue. We introduce a framework based on stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-10 Simon McGregor , timorl , Nathaniel Virgo

Ensuring robust decision-making in multi-agent systems is challenging when agents have distinct, possibly conflicting objectives and lack full knowledge of each other's strategies. This is apparent in safety-critical applications such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Francesco Bianchin , Robert Lefringhausen , Elisa Gaetan , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

A robust game is a distribution-free model to handle ambiguity generated by a bounded set of possible realizations of the values of players' payoff functions. The players are worst-case optimizers and a solution, called robust-optimization…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-02-11 Giovanni Paolo Crespi , Davide Radi , Matteo Rocca

Automated predictions require explanations to be interpretable by humans. One type of explanation is a rationale, i.e., a selection of input features such as relevant text snippets from which the model computes the outcome. However, a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Diego Antognini , Boi Faltings

Self-play is a common paradigm for constructing solutions in Markov games that can yield optimal policies in collaborative settings. However, these policies often adopt highly-specialized conventions that make playing with a novel partner…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Darius Muglich , Luisa Zintgraf , Christian Schroeder de Witt , Shimon Whiteson , Jakob Foerster

In repeated interactions between individuals, we do not expect that exactly the same situation will occur from one time to another. Contrary to what is common in models of repeated games in the literature, most real situations may differ a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Anders Eriksson , Kristian Lindgren

We consider regret minimization in repeated games with non-convex loss functions. Minimizing the standard notion of regret is computationally intractable. Thus, we define a natural notion of regret which permits efficient optimization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-06 Elad Hazan , Karan Singh , Cyril Zhang

Iterated admissibility is a well-known and important concept in classical game theory, e.g. to determine rational behaviors in multi-player matrix games. As recently shown by Berwanger, this concept can be soundly extended to infinite games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-24 Romain Brenguier , Jean-François Raskin , Mathieu Sassolas

Game semantics aim at describing the interactive behaviour of proofs by interpreting formulas as games on which proofs induce strategies. In this article, we introduce a game semantics for a fragment of first order propositional logic. One…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Samuel Mimram

Proper scoring rules incentivize experts to accurately report beliefs, assuming predictions cannot influence outcomes. We relax this assumption and investigate incentives when predictions are performative, i.e., when they can influence the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Caspar Oesterheld , Johannes Treutlein , Emery Cooper , Rubi Hudson