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In this paper, we present an ensemble data assimilation paradigm over a Riemannian manifold equipped with the Wasserstein metric. Unlike the Eulerian penalization of error in the Euclidean space, the Wasserstein metric can capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-11 Sagar K. Tamang , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Peter J. Van Leeuwen , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

We introduce a novel approach to Maximum A Posteriori inference based on discrete graphical models. By utilizing local Wasserstein distances for coupling assignment measures across edges of the underlying graph, a given discrete objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Ruben Hühnerbein , Fabrizio Savarino , Freddie Åström , Christoph Schnörr

We study data-driven decision problems where historical observations are generated by a time-evolving distribution whose consecutive shifts are bounded in Wasserstein distance. We address this nonstationarity using a distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Dominic S. T. Keehan , Edward J. Anderson , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper targets the task with discrete and periodic class labels ($e.g.,$ pose/orientation estimation) in the context of deep learning. The commonly used cross-entropy or regression loss is not well matched to this problem as they ignore…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Xiaofeng Liu , Yang Zou , Tong Che , Peng Ding , Ping Jia , Jane You , Kumar B. V. K

This paper presents a new variational data assimilation (VDA) approach for the formal treatment of bias in both model outputs and observations. This approach relies on the Wasserstein metric stemming from the theory of optimal mass…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Sagar K. Tamang , Ardeshir Ebtehaj , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

We present the first minimax risk bounds for estimators of the spectral measure in multivariate linear factor models, where observations are linear combinations of regularly varying latent factors. Non-asymptotic convergence rates are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Youssef Marzouk , Viet Anh Nguyen , Sven Wang

Standard regression approaches assume that some finite number of the response distribution characteristics, such as location and scale, change as a (parametric or nonparametric) function of predictors. However, it is not always appropriate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Fernand A. Quintana , Peter Mueller , Alejandro Jara , Steven N. MacEachern

We introduce principal differences analysis (PDA) for analyzing differences between high-dimensional distributions. The method operates by finding the projection that maximizes the Wasserstein divergence between the resulting univariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-03 Jonas Mueller , Tommi Jaakkola

We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

We propose an adjusted Wasserstein distributionally robust estimator -- based on a nonlinear transformation of the Wasserstein distributionally robust (WDRO) estimator in statistical learning. The classic WDRO estimator is asymptotically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-13 Yiling Xie , Xiaoming Huo

\v{C}ech Persistence diagrams (PDs) are topological descriptors routinely used to capture the geometry of complex datasets. They are commonly compared using the Wasserstein distances $OT_{p}$; however, the extent to which PDs are stable…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Charles Arnal , David Cohen-Steiner , Vincent Divol

Testing for white noise is a classical yet important problem in statistics, especially for diagnostic checks in time series modeling and linear regression. For high-dimensional time series in the sense that the dimension $p$ is large in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Zeng Li , Clifford Lam , Jianfeng Yao , Qiwei Yao

We investigate properties of some extensions of a class of Fourier-based probability metrics, originally introduced to study convergence to equilibrium for the solution to the spatially homogeneous Boltzmann equation. At difference with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Gennaro Auricchio , Andrea Codegoni , Stefano Gualandi , Giuseppe Toscani , Marco Veneroni

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-27 Eric C. Hall , Garvesh Raskutti , Rebecca Willett

Optimal transport and Wasserstein distances are flourishing in many scientific fields as a means for comparing and connecting random structures. Here we pioneer the use of an optimal transport distance between L\'{e}vy measures to solve a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Marta Catalano , Hugo Lavenant , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Wasserstein geometry and information geometry are two important structures to be introduced in a manifold of probability distributions. Wasserstein geometry is defined by using the transportation cost between two distributions, so it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Shun-ichi Amari , Takeru Matsuda

Given any closed Riemannian manifold $M$, we construct a reversible diffusion process on the space ${\mathcal P}(M)$ of probability measures on $M$ that is (i) reversible w.r.t.~the entropic measure ${\mathbb P}^\beta$ on ${\mathcal P}(M)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Karl-Theodor Sturm

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Autoregressive models are ubiquitous tools for the analysis of time series in many domains such as computational neuroscience and biomedical engineering. In these domains, data is, for example, collected from measurements of brain activity.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Jonas F. Haderlein , Andre D. H. Peterson , Anthony N. Burkitt , Iven M. Y. Mareels , David B. Grayden

We study the estimation problem of distribution-on-distribution regression, where both predictors and responses are probability measures. Existing approaches typically rely on a global optimal transport map or tangent-space linearization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-17 Inga Girshfeld , Xiaohui Chen