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Bayesian methods lie at the heart of modern data science and provide a powerful scaffolding for estimation in data-constrained settings and principled quantification and propagation of uncertainty. Yet in many real-world use cases where…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Sitan Chen , Jingqiu Ding , Mahbod Majid , Walter McKelvie

Bayesian optimization (BO) selects evaluation points for expensive black-box objectives using Gaussian process (GP) predictive distributions. Kernel choice and hyperparameter selection can lead to miscalibrated predictive distributions and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian Optimization is a popular approach for optimizing expensive black-box functions. Its key idea is to use a surrogate model to approximate the objective and, importantly, quantify the associated uncertainty that allows a sequential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Haoxian Chen , Henry Lam

This paper derives fundamental limits on the performance of compressive classification when the source is a mixture of Gaussians. It provides an asymptotic analysis of a Bhattacharya based upper bound on the misclassification probability…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-28 Hugo Reboredo , Francesco Renna , Robert Calderbank , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We study the optimal sample complexity of variable selection in linear regression under general design covariance, and show that subset selection is optimal while under standard complexity assumptions, efficient algorithms for this problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Ming Gao , Bryon Aragam

Bayesian optimization is a class of global optimization techniques. In Bayesian optimization, the underlying objective function is modeled as a realization of a Gaussian process. Although the Gaussian process assumption implies a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-08 Rui Tuo , Wenjia Wang

Clustering is a widely used technique with a long and rich history in a variety of areas. However, most existing algorithms do not scale well to large datasets, or are missing theoretical guarantees of convergence. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Yijia Zhou , Kyle A. Gallivan , Adrian Barbu

Among various acquisition functions (AFs) in Bayesian optimization (BO), Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) and Thompson sampling (TS) are well-known options with established theoretical properties regarding Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Shion Takeno , Yu Inatsu , Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

Cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics are widely used in the change point inference and identification. For the problem of testing for existence of a change point in an independent sample generated from the mean-shift model, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Mengjia Yu , Xiaohui Chen

We investigate a Bayesian $k$-armed bandit problem in the \emph{many-armed} regime, where $k \geq \sqrt{T}$ and $T$ represents the time horizon. Initially, and aligned with recent literature on many-armed bandit problems, we observe that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Mohsen Bayati , Nima Hamidi , Ramesh Johari , Khashayar Khosravi

We consider the upper confidence bound strategy for Gaussian multi-armed bandits with known control horizon sizes $N$ and build its limiting description with a system of stochastic differential equations and ordinary differential equations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Sergey Garbar

We target the problem of accuracy and robustness in causal inference from finite data sets. Some state-of-the-art algorithms produce clear output complete with solid theoretical guarantees but are susceptible to propagating erroneous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Tom Claassen , Tom Heskes

Verification planning is a sequential decision-making problem that specifies a set of verification activities (VA) and correction activities (CA) at different phases of system development. While VAs are used to identify errors and defects,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Peng Xu , Xinwei Deng , Alejandro Salado

Recently, there has been rising interest in Bayesian optimization -- the optimization of an unknown function with assumptions usually expressed by a Gaussian Process (GP) prior. We study an optimization strategy that directly uses an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Zi Wang , Bolei Zhou , Stefanie Jegelka

In this article, we study unbalanced optimal transport (UOT) and establish a control-theoretic dynamical extension, which we call the unbalanced density control (UDC), for a class of Gaussian reference measures. In the static setting, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Haruto Nakashima , Siddhartha Ganguly , Kenji Kashima

This paper presents an algorithmic framework for the distributed on-line source seeking, termed as 'DoSS', with a multi-robot system in an unknown dynamical environment. Our algorithm, building on a novel concept called dummy confidence…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Bin Du , Kun Qian , Christian Claudel , Dengfeng Sun

In this paper, we study the pure exploration bandit model on general distribution functions, which means that the reward function of each arm depends on the whole distribution, not only its mean. We adapt the racing framework and LUCB…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Siwei Wang , Wei Chen

Bayesian optimisation has gained great popularity as a tool for optimising the parameters of machine learning algorithms and models. Somewhat ironically, setting up the hyper-parameters of Bayesian optimisation methods is notoriously hard.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-01 Ziyu Wang , Nando de Freitas

We investigate a clustering problem with data from a mixture of Gaussians that share a common but unknown, and potentially ill-conditioned, covariance matrix. We start by considering Gaussian mixtures with two equally-sized components and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-30 Damek Davis , Mateo Díaz , Kaizheng Wang

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty
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