Related papers: Waveform-Based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analys…
Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…
Passive Gamma Emission Tomography (PGET) is an IAEA-approved technique for verifying spent nuclear fuel assemblies prior to geological disposal. Reconstructing the emission and attenuation maps from PGET measurements is a nonlinear…
The ground structure can substantially influence seismic ground motion underscoring the need to develop a ground structure model with sufficient reliability in terms of ground motion estimation for earthquake damage mitigation. While many…
The field of ice sheet, ice shelf and glacier-related seismology, cryoseismology, has seen rapid development in recent years. As concern grows for the implications of change in the great ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica, so instrument…
A Riemannian geometric framework for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is developed where using the Fisher-Rao metric on the manifold of probability density functions (pdfs), informed proposal densities for Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms…
The paper deals with state estimation of a spatially distributed system given noisy measurements from pointwise-in-time-and-space threshold sensors spread over the spatial domain of interest. A Maximum A posteriori Probability (MAP)…
When solving inverse problems in geophysical imaging, deep generative models (DGMs) may be used to enforce the solution to display highly structured spatial patterns which are supported by independent information (e.g. the geological…
The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…
This letter describes an incremental multimodal surface mapping methodology, which represents the environment as a continuous probabilistic model. This model enables high-resolution reconstruction while simultaneously compressing spatial…
Hazard models are the most commonly used tool to analyse time-to-event data. If more than one time scale is relevant for the event under study, models are required that can incorporate the dependence of a hazard along two (or more) time…
Mathematical modeling of cardiac function can provide augmented simulation-based diagnosis tool for complementing and extending human understanding of cardiac diseases which represent the most common cause of worldwide death. As the…
Seismic fragility curves have been introduced as key components of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment studies. They express the probability of failure of mechanical structures conditional to a seismic intensity measure and must take into…
Ground motion scenarios exists for most of the seismically active areas around the globe. They essentially correspond to shaking level maps at given earthquake return times which are used as reference for the likely areas under threat from…
We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…
The PE for GW merger events relies on a waveform model calibrated using numerical simulations. Within the Bayesian framework, this waveform model represents the GW signal produced during the merger and is crucial for estimating the…
Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a versatile algorithm for sampling from target distributions which are not easy to evaluate point-wise. However, pmMH requires good proposal distributions to sample efficiently from the target,…
Training vision models to detect workplace hazards accurately requires realistic images of unsafe conditions that could lead to accidents. However, acquiring such datasets is difficult because capturing accident-triggering scenarios as they…
[This paper was initially published in PHME conference in 2016, selected for further publication in International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management.] This paper describes an Autoregressive Partially-hidden Markov model (ARPHMM)…
Statistically simulated time series of wave parameters are required for many coastal and offshore engineering applications, often at the resolution of approximately one hour. Various studies have relied on autoregressive moving-average…
Bayesian geophysical basin modeling (BGBM) methodology is an interdisciplinary workflow that incorporates data, geological expertise, and physical processes through Bayesian inference in sedimentary basin models. Its application culminates…