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We consider the problem of stochastic convex optimization with exp-concave losses using Empirical Risk Minimization in a convex class. Answering a question raised in several prior works, we provide a $O( d / n + \log( 1 / \delta) / n )$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Nikita Puchkin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We study the problem of maximizing a spectral risk measure of a given output function which depends on several underlying variables, whose individual distributions are known but whose joint distribution is not. We establish and exploit an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-16 Hamza Ennaji , Quentin Mérigot , Luca Nenna , Brendan Pass

This paper revisits and extends the 2013 development by Rockafellar and Uryasev of the Risk Quadrangle (RQ) as a unified scheme for integrating risk management, optimization, and statistical estimation. The RQ features four…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Bogdan Grechuk , Anton Malandii , Terry Rockafellar , Stan Uryasev

The purpose of this paper is to pursue our study of rho-estimators built from i.i.d. observations that we defined in Baraud et al. (2014). For a \rho-estimator based on some model S (which means that the estimator belongs to S) and a true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

Planning through crowded environments under uncertain obstacle motions remains difficult, as stochastic interactions often induce overly conservative behavior or reduced efficiency. To address this challenge, we propose an end-to-end risk…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xinyi Wang , Taekyung Kim , Bardh Hoxha , Georgios Fainekos , Dimitra Panagou

We address the problem of sharing risk among agents with preferences modelled by a general class of comonotonic additive and law-based functionals that need not be either monotone or convex. Such functionals are called distortion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Jean-Gabriel Lauzier , Liyuan Lin , Ruodu Wang

This paper introduces the variational R\'enyi bound (VR) that extends traditional variational inference to R\'enyi's alpha-divergences. This new family of variational methods unifies a number of existing approaches, and enables a smooth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-31 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

This paper introduces the Lambda extension of the R\'{e}nyi entropic value-at-risk ($\Lambda$-EVaR), a novel family of risk measures that unifies the flexible confidence level structure of the $\Lambda$-framework with the higher-moment…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Zhenfeng Zou

We offer a new perspective on risk aggregation with FGM copulas. Along the way, we discover new results and revisit existing ones, providing simpler formulas than one can find in the existing literature. This paper builds on two novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-01 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

This work investigates the optimal control of the variable-exponent subdiffusion, which extends the work [Gunzburger and Wang, {\it SIAM J. Control Optim.} 2019] to the variable-exponent case to account for the multiscale and crossover…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Yiqun Li , Mengmeng Liu , Wenlin Qiu , Xiangcheng Zheng

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Martin Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan Willsky

We consider the linear quadratic regulator (LQR) for one-dimensional linear evolution partial differential equations (PDEs) on a finite interval in space. The control is applied as an additive forcing term to PDEs. Existing methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-26 Zhexian Li , Athanassios S. Fokas , Ketan Savla

Fr\'echet regression extends the principles of linear regression to accommodate responses valued in generic metric spaces. While this approach has primarily focused on exploring relationships between Euclidean predictors and non-Euclidean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Chang Jun Im , Jeong Min Jeon

This guide provides a reference for high-probability regret bounds in empirical risk minimization (ERM). The presentation is modular: we begin with intuition and general proof strategies, then state broadly applicable guarantees under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-04 Lars van der Laan

The entropy accumulation theorem, and its subsequent generalized version, is a powerful tool in the security analysis of many device-dependent and device-independent cryptography protocols. However, it has the drawback that the finite-size…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-22 Amir Arqand , Thomas A. Hahn , Ernest Y. -Z. Tan

In this paper, we study the risk bounds for samples independently drawn from an infinitely divisible (ID) distribution. In particular, based on a martingale method, we develop two deviation inequalities for a sequence of random variables of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-02-20 Chao Zhang , Dacheng Tao

In this paper we study the differentially private Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) problem in different settings. For smooth (strongly) convex loss function with or without (non)-smooth regularization, we give algorithms that achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Di Wang , Minwei Ye , Jinhui Xu

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is the workhorse of machine learning, whether for classification and regression or for off-policy policy learning, but its model-agnostic guarantees can fail when we use adaptively collected data, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-04 Aurélien Bibaut , Antoine Chambaz , Maria Dimakopoulou , Nathan Kallus , Mark van der Laan

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

In high-stakes machine learning applications, it is crucial to not only perform well on average, but also when restricted to difficult examples. To address this, we consider the problem of training models in a risk-averse manner. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Sebastian Curi , Kfir. Y. Levy , Stefanie Jegelka , Andreas Krause
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